Domestic sugar production increasingly unable to meet the needs of the community so that the shortage must be covered with imported sugar has continued to increase since 1990. Period 1991-2001, the sugar industry in Indonesia began to face a variety of significant problems. One indicator of Indonesia's sugar industry problem is the increasing trend of imports. The purpose of this research is to analyze the factors that influence the import of sugar crystal in Indonesia and to analyze the forcasting about Indonesian sugar import in the future. The projected amount of sugar imports in Indonesia in the coming years will continue to increase the import of crystal sugar in the next seven years by Indonesia reaching 425 thousand tons.

The aims of this study was a) to analyze the factors that affect the performance of production of white cigarette industry, b) analyze the factors that affect the performance of the consumption and c) simulate, if the government a tax increase of 5 percent or 20 percent of the performance of the industry. The results showed that a) the performance of the production positively affected by the real price of white cigarette and technology. Otherwise, the price of real prices of clove cigarettes, excise tariff and dummy of customs policy negatively affect the production. White cigarette labor and dummy of health policy did not affect the production of white cigarettes, b) the performance of the consumption positively affected by the price, consumption and national income. Otherwise, dummy of excise policy negatively affect consumption changes clove cigarettes. The price of clove cigarette as well as excise rate on cigars and health policy dummy did not significantly affect clove cigarette consumption, and c) Excise instrument very effective role as the main contribution of government revenue and also effectively reducing consumption both clove and white cigarettes. (Abstract)