Under certain conditions of extrusion temperature and strain rate Al-Mg-Si alloys produce coarse recrystallized grains at and near the surface. Current FEM models are able to analyze grain size evolution for extruded profiles, but cannot predict the coarse recrystallized grains near the surface. A new model using DEFORM 2D and local state variables such as strain, strain rate and temperature is compared with Al-Mg-Si rods extruded at 440°C and 500°C for two extremes of strain rate. The model is found to be sensitive to the processing conditions and to accurately predict the recrystallized grain size and fraction.