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In our work on the basis of economic literature, statistics and scientific works in periodicals, we analyzed the international experience of conducting agricultural risk insurance in other countries, special attention was paid to issues of state support for this industry. As a result of the study, we identified the features of conducting agricultural insurance abroad, which can be further adapted to the conditions of the Russian insurance market and applied in order to improve and develop the mechanism of agricultural insurance in our country. The article also examined the dynamics of the main economic indicators of the development of the agricultural insurance market with state support. The main indicator of market development is the share of insured sown areas and livestock of farm animals. The dynamics of these indicators over the past six years has shown that the level of agricultural insurance protection in our country is at a low level, despite the fact that in 2019 there was a positive trend to the world average indicators is still very far away. Much attention was paid to indicators characterizing the level of state support for this industry in our country. As a result of research, it was determined that the agricultural risk insurance system lacks budget funds, and its development directly depends on the amount of funding. It should also be noted that large agricultural producers are mostly involved in the insurance process, and for small-scale farming, the proposed insurance products are mostly inaccessible due to the high cost. Further, the main problems of the development of the agricultural insurance mechanism were identified and directions for improving the state support system for this industry were outlined.

Цель: в статье прорабатывается вопрос определения депрессивности сельских территорий и их причин. Рассматриваются экономические задачи, позволяющие сформировать потенциал территории к развитию выраженной её инвестиционной привлекательности, эффективности производства, эффективности бюджетных расходов местного бюджета и его устойчивости. Обсуждение: для решения указанной проблемы предлагается выделить экономические, экологические, институциональные и социальные факторы, влияющие на развитие села. Наличие нерешенных проблем в этой области нивелирует любые успехи по выводу территории из депрессии. Результаты: авторами был проведен анализ депрессивности сельской территории и сформирована программа стратегического развития, которая основана на стратегическом анализе территории, выявленных проблемах, возможностях, угрозах и перспективах.

The purpose of the research was to forecast the parameters of human capital development in agriculture in Voronezh Oblast. In line with this objective the authors developed a long-term forecast of the total and rural population, and used the methods of economic and mathematical modeling to substantiate the promising parameters of human capital development in agriculture of the region by economic entities (agricultural enterprises and peasant farm enterprises). The performed research allowed determining the priorities for organizing the structure of economic activities, whereas reaching the design parameters will create the conditions for efficient economic activities, as well as for obtaining a greater mass of profit sufficient for expanded reproduction. Moreover, the use of a block mathematical economic model allows a multivariate determination of the optimal parameters of the number of workers employed in agricultural production. For instance, the forecast of rural population shows a decrease in both the total population and the number of workers employed in agricultural production with a simultaneous decrease in total rural population and working-age population. Prospective changes in the structure of the population predetermine a positive trend in the development of agricultural sector in Voronezh Oblast. Keywordshuman capital; reproduction of human capital;mathematical economic modeling; block-diagonal structure; forecast of rural population.