In modern conditions of constantly arising global economic risks, which sharply affect the development of world commodity markets, the role of developing its non-resource exports is increasingly becoming more visible in strengthening the economy of the Russian Federation. This study poses a question and proposes a scenario for improving the country's balance of payments based on increase in Russian food exports. The importance and necessity of solving this issue is reflected in the Message of the President of the Russian Federation of February 20, 2019 and his instructions to the Government of the country. In this regard, the purpose of the study was to consider and forecast possible scenarios for the implementation of approved plans for the development of agricultural exports. Achieving this goal several interrelated tasks had been solved: 1) identifying the ratio of export and import of agricultural products in the Russian Federation; 2) analysis the structure of export agricultural products; 3) forecasting the real possibilities of achieving the target indicators for the export of agricultural products, as well as the processing and food industries; 4) the proposal of options for improving the system of state regulation of agricultural exports or its elements. The result of the study was the confirmation of hypothesis that state regulation of agricultural exports is, in general, effective.

The article is dedicated to the new political course of the Russian Federation, aimed at overcoming the economic blockade of the countries of Europe, as well as the United States. Effective management of food enterprises should take into account the new economic con-ditions for the functioning of the food economic subsector. In view of the crisis associated with the spread of coronavirus, falling oil prices, the ruble situation, the development of an economic course to adapt the Russian food industry becomes paramount. Therefore, the purpose of this article is a set of government measures to regulate the dairy food complex of the Russian Federation, both federally and regionally for the period 2008-2018. An analysis of the dynamics of milk industry indicators showed that the level of self-sufficiency for the period 2008-2018 was below the standard: 0.90. The study correlated the economics "im-port" and "self-sufficiency". Based on the data, it is concluded that the Russian Federation needs global innovation in the food industry mainly to the effective management of the agricultural dairy subsector.

Currently, the Russian Federation is a significant geopolitical and economic player in the modern global world, it has its own interests and traditional partnerships with most states, including business representatives of those countries that are trying to restrain its development through restrictions and partial isolation from global development opportunities . Despite the sanctions and the unfavorable world market conditions, the Russian economy showed high plasticity, stability and adaptability to external changes, which was reflected in the positive dynamics of foreign trade growth in the existing conditions. Therefore, the purpose of this article was to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the dynamics of official statistics on economic growth and foreign trade in the Russian Federation for the period 2013-2018. To achieve this goal, the following tasks were solved: 1) an analysis of the dynamics of the gross domestic product of the Russian Federation for the period 2013-2018; 2) the role of foreign trade in the gross domestic product of the country is estimated through the calculation of foreign economic quotas; 3) analyzed the dynamics of foreign trade, imports and exports of the Russian Federation; 4) revealed the shares of product groups in the structure of exports and imports, as well as the most significant counterparties of the Russian Federation. The hypothesis of the study was the thesis of the interdependence of the volume of economic growth and foreign economic activity, including taking into account changes in foreign economic conditions. The article provides a retrospective analysis of the dynamics of economic growth in terms of nominal value and purchasing power parity, as well as the dynamics of foreign trade of the Russian Federation for the period 2013-2018. A preliminary forecast of foreign trade volumes for 2019 is given. The calculation of foreign economic, export and import quotas for the same period. The Russian specifics of the dynamics and structure of export supplies and import flows, as well as the structure of both imports and exports by counteragent countries and enlarged groups of the commodity nomenclature of foreign economic activity, are examined. For the period under review, the nominal GDP fell by 28.8%, while in terms of purchasing power parity, the Russian economy grew by 5.7% over the same period. At the same time, the largest drawdown in the economy occurred in the middle of the period; in recent years, the situation in the economy has improved. The role of foreign trade in the formation of GDP during the period was relatively stable, with the exception of 2018, when the foreign trade quota sharply increased (as well as export and import). The dynamics of foreign trade and export quotas in the Russian Federation are almost identical, while imports depend on export earnings. For the study period, foreign trade turnover of the Russian Federation decreased by 18.4%, export volumes decreased by 14.8%, import purchases decreased by 24.5%. The main problem of the economy and foreign economic activity remains its dependence on the export of mineral products.

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The paper considers the current system of state regulation and stimulation of export of agri-food products and agricultural raw materials by analyzing the existing regulatory framework and open official sources on the topic of the study, including the dynamics of budget level allocations that provide measures to promote domestic agricultural products to foreign markets. Therefore, the purpose of this article was to consider the current system of state regulation of agricultural and food exports and to predict the feasibility of implementing the export development plans ap-proved by the passport of the federal project. The achievement of the goal was disclosed by solving several interrelated tasks: 1) planned target indicators for the volume and structure of agricultural exports of the Russian Federation, as well as basic tools for its promotion, were con-sidered; 2) the retrospective and planned dynamics of the volumes of financial resources provid-ing stimulation of agricultural and food exports to the Russian Federation are analyzed; 3) the real possibilities of achieving the target indicators for the export of agricultural products, as well as the processing and food industries have been predicted. The scientific hypothesis of this article was the authors' assumption about the difficulty of implementing plans for such a large-scale in-crease in the volume of exports of food and agricultural raw materials due to the unprecedented goals in the recent history of the Russian Federation, including taking into account the volatility of external political and market conditions. During the study, the goal of the article was achieved, and the scientific hypothesis was confirmed. The article analyzes the control indicators provided by passport of the federal project and ensuring its activities of financial resources of the federal budget in retrospect 2017−2019 and planning periods 2020–2022. The studies showed a tremendous increase in the level of financing of programs for the development of agricultural exports in reviewed period. The analysis predicted two options for possible implementation of federal project: optimistic and realistic. The study has revealed a number of shortcomings in the system of state regulation of agricultural exports, the most important of which is that the lion's share of all state support is concessional investment lending to subjects of foreign economic ac-tivity in agricultural sector.