Ambystoma (Tschudi, 1838) represents a speciose clade of salamanders that are found across much of North America. Fossils referred to Ambystoma are reported from early Cenozoic deposits and are common in Quaternary fossil deposits. Most fossils identified as Ambystoma are isolated vertebrae. Both quantitative and qualitative characters were reported as being useful for identifying fossilized vertebrae of Ambystoma below the genus level. However, there is limited information on intraspecific variation in those characters and previous studies noted intracolumnar variation which affects the utility of those characters for fossil identification. A lack of understanding of variation in modern species of Ambystoma casts uncertainty on our ability to identify fossil vertebrae confidently. We aimed to document intraspecific and intracolumnar variation in vertebral morphology among species of Ambystoma and examine the implications for fossil identification. We assembled one of the largest skeletal data sets for Ambystoma and took linear measurements on 15 species. We used 2D geometric morphometric analyses to characterize atlantal shape variation in Ambystoma. We apply those morphometric data in a case study where we identify fossil vertebrae from Hall's Cave, a Quaternary fossil locality in central Texas. We found patterns of intraspecific and intracolumnar variation that have substantial implications for fossil identification. Classification accuracies for species and clades within Ambystoma varied considerably. Overall classification accuracies based on size-adjusted measurements and 2D geometric morphometric landmarks were lower compared with classifications from non-size adjusted linear measurements. We identified fossil vertebrae from our case study as likely belonging to the tiger salamander clade within Ambystoma, but found that some fossils with lower classification probabilities are of uncertain identity. We discuss biogeographic implications for our fossil identifications and comment on challenges and next steps for advancing our understanding of morphological variation in Ambystoma.