Purpose The purpose of this paper is to identify and prioritize the positive and negative impacts of tourism on the process of tourism growth at a national scale in Iran, by taking into account the reviews of previous studies, views of experts and structural analysis. Design/methodology/approach In this investigation, structural analysis technique has been used to identify the correlation between variables by using mix method data analysis. By using cross-impact analysis (N × N integer matrix) in the form of the Micmac method, the economic, sociocultural and environmental factors have been evaluated. Findings The results of the distribution of factors in the coordinate axes and the graphs between them indicate their features, and for reaching a sustainable system of tourism development, at first, priority should be given to the negative influential factors, especially the environmental fields, and then the focus should be on the decrease of the dual and risk variables as they cannot be anticipated. Originality/value For the rapid growth of tourism in many countries, governments ensure that policies have been heeded in designing and preparing general plans of the country to understand how the development trend is moving on. In this respect, arisen impacts of tourism system are one of the important issues during the development path and in the field of tourism future. Because of the complexity and broadness of tourism activities, these impacts have also many interconnected dimensions that should also be considered while studying tourism impacts.
Purpose This purpose of this study is to demonstrate that unsustainable revenues in municipalities are short term and may have an adverse effect on urban systems. Focusing on stable financial resources can reduce such adverse effects. According to the legal obligations of municipalities in the creation of sustainable revenue, developing tourism-based activities in municipalities can play a significant role in providing a sustainable income. Design/methodology/approach This study aims to assess the positive effects of economic opportunities related to tourism for the municipalities in Iran’s large-scale cities and to identify the hidden opportunities of tourism. Also, from interviews and analysis of themes based on the situation, task, action, result model, tourism opportunities have been extracted and classified. Findings As a result of this research, hidden income-generating opportunities of urban tourism have been identified for municipalities, including those depending on situation, tasks, actions and results. For each of these categories, strategies for the realization of tourism opportunities are presented. Tourism’s hidden opportunities include those relating to organizational aspects, tourism planning, tourism diplomacy, handicrafts, health tourism, event tourism and urban tourism marketing. Originality/value By taking advantage of these opportunities, income generation, employment and urban management will be improved in the municipalities.
Decision-making and selection are important and sensitive aspects of planning. An important part of land-use planning is the location of human activities. Locating activities in the right places determines the future space of a region. Selection and definition of natural and human indices and criteria for location always face uncertainty. Thus, this study aimed to develop an intelligent method for industrial location. In this study a developmental-applied approach was used along with a descriptive-analytical method for data analysis. Through the review of related literature and a Delphi survey, 18 criteria were extracted and 6 main components were categorized. The data were analyzed and modeled by GIS, MATLAB software, and the Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) methods. For each modeling three industrial domains were extracted, i.e. weak, medium, and premium. A total of 42,968 hectares of premium industrial location with a score higher than 0.7 resulted from combining the produced maps. Other important findings were related to the architecture and methodology applied in the research based on computational intelligence and knowledge-based systems to analyze and understand the processes that influence the score of locations. The novelty of this method lies in the use of high computing power and information evaluation based on artificial intelligence (AI), making it possible to analyze and understand the processes influencing industrial location. Abstrak. Pengambilan keputusan dan seleksi adalah aspek-aspek penting dan sensitive dalam perencanaan. Bagian yang penting dalam sebuah perencaan penggunaan lahan adalah terkait lokasi kegiatan manusia. Alokasi kegiatan manusia pada tempat yang benar adalah penentu ruang masa depan dari suatu wilayah. Dalam hal seleksi dan definisi index, juga kriteria lokasi selalu menghadapi ketidakpastian. Sehingga, studi ini dilakukan untuk mengembangkan metode yang berguna dalam alokasi industri. Pada artikel ini, digunakan pendekatan terapan-terkembangkan dengan metode analisis deskriptif dalam hal analisis data. Berdasarkan tinjauan pada literatur terkait dan survey Delphi, 18 kritersia diekstraksi yang dikategorikan pada 6 komponen utama. Data dianalisis dan dimodelkan menggunakan GIS, MATLAB, Fuzzy Inference System (FIS), dan metode Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). Untuk setiap model, tiga domain industry ditentukan, yakni: lemah, moderat, dan premium. Terdapat lokasi industry premium dengan total 42,968 ha dengan nilai lebih dari 0.7. Hasil penting lainnya berkaitan dengan arsitektur dan metode terapan dalam penelitian yang berdasar kepada ilmu komputasi untuk memahami proses yang memengaruhi nilai untuk suatu lokasi. Kebaruan dari metode ini ada pada penggunaan model komputasi tinggi dan evaluasi informasi berdasarkan kecerdasan buatan (AI) yang memungkinkan untuk melakukan analisis dan memahami proses yang memengaruhi lokasi industri. Kata kunci. Fuzzy Inference System (FIS), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), lokasi industri, Provinsi Markazi.
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