Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to forecast wind power generation in an area through different methods, and then, recommend the most suitable one using some performance criteria.
Design/methodology/approach
The Box–Jenkins modeling and the Neural network modeling approaches are applied to perform forecasting for the last 12 months.
Findings
The results indicated that among the tested artificial neural network (ANN) model and its improved model, artificial neural network-genetic algorithm (ANN-GA) with RMSE of 0.4213 and R2 of 0.9212 gains the best performance in prediction of wind power generation values. Finally, a comparison between ANN-GA and ARIMA method confirmed a far superior power generation prediction performance for ARIMA with RMSE of 0.3443 and R2 of 0.9480.
Originality/value
Performance of the ARIMA method is evaluated in comparison to several types of ANN models including ANN, and its improved model using GA as ANN-GA and particle swarm optimization (PSO) as ANN-PSO.
In this paper, a bi-objective optimization model is developed to integrate the cell formation and inter/intra-cell layouts in continuous space by considering fuzzy conditions to minimize the total cost of parts relocations as well as cells reconfigurations. The intra-and intercell movements for both parts and machines using batch sizes for transferring parts are related to the distance traveled through a rectilinear distance in a fuzzy environment. To solve the proposed problem as a bi-objective mixed-integer non-linear programming model is NP-hard, four meta-heuristic algorithms based on a multi-objective optimization structure are tackled to address the problem. In this regard, not only Genetic Algorithm (GA), Keshtel Algorithm (KA) and Red Deer Algorithm (RDA) are employed to solve the problem, but also a novel hybrid meta-heuristic algorithm based on the benefits of aforementioned algorithms is developed. Finally, by considering some efficient assessment metrics of Pareto-based algorithms, the results indicate that the proposed hybrid algorithm not only is more appropriate than the exact solver but it also outperforms the performance of individual ones particularly in medium-and large-sized problems.
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