A site-specific probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) has been performed for the only nuclear power plant site in Brazil, located 130 km southwest of Rio de Janeiro at Angra dos Reis. Logic trees were developed for both the seismic source characterization and ground motion characterization models, in both cases seeking to capture the appreciable ranges of epistemic uncertainty with relatively few branches. This logic-tree structure allowed the hazard calculations to be performed efficiently while obtaining results that reflect the inevitable uncertainty in long-term seismic hazard assessment in this tectonically stable region. An innovative feature of the study is an additional seismic source zone added to capture the potential contributions of characteristics earthquake associated with geological faults in the region surrounding the coastal site.
Brazilian territory is situated on an intraplate region with low seismic activity, and so, it is important to answer an old question that remains unanswered: "Should standard building structures in Brazil be guaranteed by a seismic resistant design?" In this way , a methodology is described and used to evaluate the annual failure probability of a structure model subjected to ground motions compatible with a defined provincial seismicity; the model strength is taken as the maximum shear and overturning moment at the base. One considers five different structure models for each Brazilian state capital city and evaluates the annual failure probability which provides arguments to answer the above question
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