In this article, we will familiarize with the currently used methods of assessing the6 maximum possible number of victims, their analysis and construction of algorithms, followed by a comparison of the results, on the basis of which the most optimal method of assessing the maximum possible number of victims will be chosen. An approach to assessing the maximum number of victims, based on the modeling of the territorial distribution of people within the zone of damaging factors. One of the complex and urgent tasks in the framework of the application of existing approaches to the assessment of the maximum possible number of victims for insurance purposes is the problem of modeling the density of the distribution of people within the zones of the affecting factors. The most adequate approach is based on the discretization of the density over the territory of the site by dividing it into areas, for example, by imposing a certain grid.
The article reviewed one of the known accidents with explosions of fuel assemblies both in domestic and foreign enterprises, and analyzed the causes of its occurrence. With the help of several computational methods, the sizes of the zones of air-shock wave (ASW) were determined and compared with the “real” data, and situational plans with zones of destruction were constructed.
This article describes industrial safety procedures that take into account a risk-based approach to industrial safety in the Russian Federation, and the specifics of their application. The analysis of 189 objects of I-IV hazard classes of LLC “Technical Environmental Consulting” (LLC “TEC”) was carried out and the statistical correlation between the estimated value of individual risk and the hazard class of a hazardous production facility was identified.
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