In this work, statistical analysis tools of the computational program were used: the computational statistical package R. Data from the monthly precipitation series were analyzed in five airports. It was shown that monthly rainfall showed variability associated with three distinct subgroups, with different intensities of precipitation and represent an overlap in cascades of different spatial and temporal scales, acting on the pattern of precipitation behavior. The use of the chi-square test using as reference the main maximal centroids, obtained by the group analysis technique, allows characterizing the variability of the maximal and possible analysis of the frequency change in the behavior of the time series. In the Spearman Coefficient test, he presented two locations with a trend, Guarulhos and Santa Cruz. However, considering the results and analyzing the metadata information from the observation stations on the surface, we can consider that there is evidence that the variability is within randomness and without showing changes in trends.
This case study, using a regional climate model (RegCM-4.7) in high horizontal resolution, allowed to obtain information on the intensity of the average vertical wind profile over the Alcântara Launch Center (ALC), Brazil. In the literature, on the wind intensity, the lack of continuous monitoring of the existence of flows in the vertical profile of the wind at heights of 400 to 600 m and the measurement of its magnitude make it possible to have an estimate lower than what can occur in reality at a low level in the region for operational purposes for the rocket launch. Therefore, this works results points to an intraseasonal variability of the wind intensity with maximum winds of the order of 14 to 20 m•s-1 in the core wind intensity at heights of 600 m, corresponding to pressure levels of the order of 930 hPa, in August, September and October 2020. These intensity values should be further studied with the use of observation equipment such as sound detection and ranging (SODAR) in the continuation of this research, in moment future, as well; the global models of reanalysis have low resolution and are not suitable for comparisons.
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