This study aimed to analyse financial liberalisation, political stability, and economic determinants of Kenya’s real economic growth using time series data over the period of 1970–2016. The authors specified quadratic and interactive models to be estimated by employing a quantile regression analysis. The traditional and quantile unit root test was used in testing the stationarity issue. The co-integration findings indicated that the capital account openness and financial development impede on real economic growth; and the political stability also had potential influence on the real economic growth of Kenya. Interestingly, there is a nonlinear U-shape link between financial development and real economic growth that undermined the real economic growth at its onset, but as it advanced, it enhanced the growth of the country in the long run. The policymakers should ensure that the capital account is more liberalised so that it will continue to stimulate the financial development. In the same way, the liberalisation of the domestic financial market should be taken in earnest to overcome the negative effects of financial repression in totality, while maintaining the stable political atmosphere.
Abstract. This study aimed to examine the effect of financial instability, energy prices and trade openness on economic growth for leading African countries (Egypt, Kenya, Morocco, Nigeria and South Africa
This study attempts to investigate the short and long-run cointegration with the causal nexus between financial developments, trade and output growth in Nigeria. The financial instability index was generated using the residual based analysis to account for the effect of financial instability on growth. To examine the cointegration effects, the study used Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The non-Granger causality analysis was also employed to determine the direction of causality between the variables. We found that financial instability retards growth significantly while financial liberalization indicates positive impact, but insignificant effect on growth. The study concluded that there is a long-run nexus between financial development and economic growth in Nigeria. We recommend that proactive measures need to be established to sustain economic growth in the country through enhancing productivity level, encouraging savings culture and economizing resources to promote capital accumulation.
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