Aim:In Kazakhstan and Central Asia, breast cancer (BC) is the most common malignancy among women. However, no large-scale study on breast cancer using the functional time series approach has been carried out in Kazakhstan. Methods: A functional assessment of the age-period-cohort model (APC) and the survival rate (period 2017-2021) was used in the retrospective study. Clinical and demographic information on patients was analysed, including age, gender, region of residence, kind and stage of tumour, occupation, socioeconomic standing, nationality, and specifics of treatment and its outcomes. Additionally, the relationship between nationality, stage, and residency region and the survival rate of breast cancer patients was investigated too. Results: The data of n=22,736 breast cancer patients were analysed. The highest number of breast cancer cases reported was 4,945 (21.7%), in 2019. In 2021, n =4,939 (21.7%) cases were detected, while in 2020, n=4,222 (18.6%) cases were observed. The patients with breast cancer in stages I and Ia were recognized in 6,585 (29% of cases), while those in stages Ib and Ic were confirmed in 8687 (38.2% of cases). In n=10,147 (44.6%) cases, a malignant tumour of the upper outer quadrant of the breast (C50.4) was predominant. Kazakhs made up the majority (n=10,939, 48.1%) of patients with a primary validated diagnosis of breast cancer, followed by Russians (n=7527, 33.1%). Germans had the lowest survival rate overall (11.4 ± 1.7 months) (p ≤ 0.05) (95% CI: 8.0-14.7 months). Uzbeks showed relatively high survival rates of 18.3 ± 1.6 months (95% CI: 15.1-21.5 months) (p ≤ 0.05). The Aktobe region had the lowest breast cancer survival rates, measuring 12.1±0.9 months (95% CI: 10.3-13.9 months) (p ≤ 0.05). The highest survival rates, 18.0±1.3 months (95% CI: 15.5-20.5 months) and 17.9±1.4 months (95% CI: 15.3-20.7 months), were seen in Shymkent and Zhambyl regions (p ≤ 0.05), respectively. The prevalence of breast cancer increases after 37.5 years, according to the results of the APC analysis, with an indicator of 0.572 (95% CI: -0.41 -1.56), maintaining a steady upward trend in the age range from 42.5 years to 62.5 years. Conclusions: Despite a slight drop in the disease's frequency, the incidence of breast cancer in women 37.5 years and older has been stable over the past five years. Additionally, it was shown that the country's northern regions had a higher incidence of breast cancer cases than the southern and western regions. Our results show the significance of demographic characteristics such as age and location for the development of preventive measures and effective treatment.
At present, clamping of the portal triad is a widespread surgical procedure in hospitals. Such an operation can prevent pathological changes in the organs. However, the optimal time for clamping remains unclear. To determine the starting time of irreversible morphological changes in the small intestine due to the clamping of the portal triad. The study was carried out on rats (n=94). Animals were randomly subdivided into 4 groups based on the duration of clamping of the portal triad (PT): I control group (CG; without clamping the PT; n=10); II intervention group (6-IG; clamping PT for 6 min; n=28); III intervention group (12-IG; clamping time of the PT for 12 min; n=28); IV intervention group (24-IG; clamping time of the PT for 24 min; n=28). In groups 6- IG, 12-IG, 24-IG, after clamping the portal triad, animals were withdrawn from the experiment after 3 hours, 6 hours, 12 hours, 1 day, 3 days and 7 days. Morphological changes in the small intestine were assessed by measuring the diameter of the lumen of micro-vessels. In addition, the mortality in the groups was analysed as well. In the CG group, the diameter of the arterioles of the small intestine was 34±4 μm, the diameters of pre-capillaries were 15±2μm, the capillaries were 5.4±1 μm, the post-capillaries were 18±2 μm, and the diameter of the lumen of the venues was 40±3 μm. In the 6-IG group (on the 3rd day), the structure of the small intestine showed the recovery signs. By the 7th day, the indicators returned to their original values. In the 12-IG group, the parameters of the small intestine were restored on the seventh day that corresponds to the usual course of the disease. However, in the 24-IG group, changes in these organs persisted until the end of the study. No deaths were reported in the CG and 6-IG animal groups. Mortality among rats of the 12-IG group was 14.3%, while in the 24-IG group with PT clamping for 24 minutes it was 42.8%, respectively. The morphological changes in the microvasculature of the small intestine after 6-minute PT clamping showed a tendency to recover (back to the control parameters). Nevertheless, after 24 minutes of clamping, the changes in the intestinal tissue were irreversible.
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