International audienceThe ‘4 per mille Soils for Food Security and Climate’ was launched at the COP21 with an aspiration to increase global soil organic matter stocks by 4 per 1000 (or 0.4 %) per year as a compensation for the global emissions of greenhouse gases by anthropogenic sources. This paper surveyed the soil organic carbon (SOC) stock estimates and sequestration potentials from 20 regions in the world (New Zealand, Chile, South Africa, Australia, Tanzania, Indonesia, Kenya, Nigeria, India, China Taiwan, South Korea, China Mainland, United States of America, France, Canada, Belgium, England & Wales, Ireland, Scotland, and Russia). We asked whether the 4 per mille initiative is feasible for the region. The outcomes highlight region specific efforts and scopes for soil carbon sequestration. Reported soil C sequestration rates globally show that under best management practices, 4 per mille or even higher sequestration rates can be accomplished. High C sequestration rates (up to 10 per mille) can be achieved for soils with low initial SOC stock (topsoil less than 30 t C ha−1), and at the first twenty years after implementation of best management practices. In addition, areas which have reached equilibrium will not be able to further increase their sequestration. We found that most studies on SOC sequestration only consider topsoil (up to 0.3 m depth), as it is considered to be most affected by management techniques. The 4 per mille number was based on a blanket calculation of the whole global soil profile C stock, however the potential to increase SOC is mostly on managed agricultural lands. If we consider 4 per mille in the top 1m of global agricultural soils, SOC sequestration is between 2-3 Gt C year−1, which effectively offset 20–35% of global anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. As a strategy for climate change mitigation, soil carbon sequestration buys time over the next ten to twenty years while other effective sequestration and low carbon technologies become viable. The challenge for cropping farmers is to find disruptive technologies that will further improve soil condition and deliver increased soil carbon. Progress in 4 per mille requires collaboration and communication between scientists, farmers, policy makers, and marketeers
We use an expression for the error variance of geostatistical predictions, which includes the effect of uncertainty in the spatial covariance parameters, to examine the performance of sample designs in which a proportion of the total number of observations are distributed according to a spatial coverage design, and the remaining observations are added at supplementary close locations. This expression has been used in previous studies on numerical optimization of spatial sampling, the objective of this study was to use it to discover simple rules of thumb for practical geostatistical sampling. Results for a range of sample sizes and contrasting properties of the underlying random variables show that there is an improvement on adding just a few sample points and close pairs, and a rather slower increase in the prediction error variance as the proportion of sample points allocated in this way is increased above 10 to 20% of the total sample size. One may therefore propose a rule of thumb that, for a fixed sample size, 90% of sample sites are distributed according to a spatial coverage design, and 10% are then added at short distances from sites in the larger subset to support estimation of spatial covariance parameters.
It is a great challenge to identify the many and varied sources of soil heavy metal pollution. Often little information is available regarding the anthropogenic factors and enterprises that could potentially pollute soils. In this study we use freely available geographical data from a search engine in conjunction with machine learning methodologies to identify and classify potentially polluting enterprises in the Yangtze Delta, China.The data were classified into 31 separate and five integrated industry types by five different machine learning approaches. Multinomial naive Bayesian methods achieved an accuracy of 86.5% and Kappa coefficient of 0.82 and were used to classify the geographic data from more than 250 000 enterprises. The relationship between the different industry classes and measurements of soil cadmium and mercury concentrations was explored using bivariate local Moran's I analysis. The analysis revealed areas where different industry classes had led to soil pollution. In the case of cadmium, elevated concentrations also occurred in some areas because of natural sources. This study provides a new approach to investigate the interaction between anthropogenic pollution and natural sources of soil heavy metals to inform pollution control and planning decisions regarding the location of industrial sites.
We present a generic model to investigate alignment due to cell movement with spefic application to collagen fibre alignment in wound healing. In particular, alignment in two orthogonal directions is considered. Numerical simulation are presented to show how alignment is affected by key parameter min the model. from a travelling wave analysis of a simplified one-dimensional version of the model we derive a first order ordinary differential equation to describe the time evolution of aligment. We conclude that in the wound healing context,faster healing wounds result in more aligment and hence more serve scarring. It is shown how the model can be extended to included orientation dependent Kinetics,multipkle cell types and several extracellular matrix materials.
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