Harmful algal blooms (HABs) have significantly impacted the seafood industry along the Tasmanian east coast over the past three decades, and are expected to change in frequency and magnitude due to climate change induced changing oceanographic conditions. To investigate the long-term history of regional HABs, a combination of palynological and sedimentary ancient DNA (sedaDNA) analyses was applied to marine sediment cores from inshore (up to 145 years old) and offshore (up to ~9,000 years) sites at Maria Island, southeast Tasmania. Analyses focused Paralytic Shellfish Toxin (PST) producing dinoflagellates Alexandrium catenella and Gymnodinium catenatum, and the red-tide dinoflagellate Noctiluca scintillans, which were specifically targeted using a hybridization capture sedaDNA technique. Identification of primulin-stained A. catenella cysts throughout the inshore sediment core, together with sedaDNA evidence of a bloom-phase of Alexandrium ~15 years ago, indicates recent stimulation of a cryptic endemic population. Morphologically similar but unstained Alexandrium cysts were observed throughout the offshore core, with sedaDNA confirming the presence of A. catenella from ~8,300 years ago to present. Gymnodinium catenatum cysts were detected only in inshore surface sediments from 30 years ago to present, supporting previous evidence of a 1970s introduction via shipping ballast water. sedaDNA confirmed the presence of G. catenatum-related sequences in the inshore and offshore cores, however, unambiguous species identification could not be achieved due to limited reference sequence coverage of Gymnodinium. Our hybridization capture sedaDNA data also confirmed the historically recent dispersal of the non-fossilizing dinoflagellate Noctiluca scintillans, detected inshore from ~30 years ago, matching first observations of this species in Tasmanian waters in 1994. At the offshore site, N. scintillans sedaDNA was detected only in surface sediments, confirming a recent climate-driven range expansion this species. This study provides new insights into the distribution and abundance of three HAB species in the Tasmanian region, including clues to past bloom phases. Further research into paleo-environmental conditions and paleo-community structure are required to identify the factors driving bloom phases through time and predict plankton community responses under different future climate scenarios.

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