In this study, in order to evaluate the change of LST from rural to urban scale in 20 years, a zoonal statistical analysis was performed by separating the urban and rural districts located on the coastline. Algorithms were applied to the raw data of Landsat 8 and Landsat 7 satellite images, using the Arc Gis 10.2 and Q Gis 3.16 utilities. In this way, NDVI, NDBI and LST data were compared and evaluated in terms of rural and urban districts. The correlation coefficient between the parameters was calculated. In the study, the land change between the years 2000-2020 was also determined to reveal the land change. As a result of the analyzes made, the amount of green areas decreased by 14.1% between 2000 and 2020 in the study area, which includes the central districts of Samsun, İlkadım and Atakum, and in the rural areas, Bafra and Ondokuz Mayıs. It has been observed that this rate is shared as 7.1% in built up areas and 7.33% in bare soil areas. Considering the effect of the decrease in green areas on the LST value, in 2000, max. While LST is 41.75 C, in 2020 max. It is seen that LST has increased to 43.44 C. When the districts were analyzed separately, it was seen that LST established a strong correlation with NDBI (positive) and NDVI (negative) for all four districts. However, the correlation was stronger in rural districts. It was observed that the correlation strength weakened in urban districts due to heterogeneous land surface cover.

This is study is based with the support of RS-GIS technology on the land use of Samsun Center, as well as the coastal districts of Ilkadım,Atakum,Bafra Plain, through the processing and interpretation of satellite images in the summer months of 2000,2010,2020. Spatial and temporal variability properties of LU/LC were determined using MLC algorithm, controlled classification approach. The predictive values of the LU/LC change that will occur in 2030, calculated with the MLP‑ANN model based on Machine Learning algorithms and mapped with the QGIS 3.16 program. To determine the accuracy coefficient of the model, 2020 LU/LC simulation performed using the transition potential matrix of 2000 and 2010 LU/LC data. The results of simulation were compared the data of land use land cover with the 2020 to evaluate the accuracy of the simulation model. The model of MLP‑ANN provided an accuracy of 72% based on the kappa fit index. According to MLP‑ANN model 2030 results were an increase of 73.33 km² in built up areas, an increase of 56.89 km² in bare areas, and a decrease of 129.66 km² in green areas. It provided a reference basis for future Samsun urban to rural coastline LU planning and management and LU structure optimization.