Dengue infection can be challenging to diagnose early in the course of infection before severe manifestations develop, but early diagnosis can improve patient outcomes and promote timely public health interventions. We developed age-based predictive models generated from 2 years of data from an enhanced dengue surveillance system in Puerto Rico. These models were internally validated and were able to differentiate dengue infection from other acute febrile illnesses with moderate accuracy. The accuracy of the models was greater than either the current World Health Organization case definition for dengue fever or a proposed modification to this definition, while requiring the collection of fewer data. In young children, thrombocytopenia and the absence of cough were associated with dengue infection; for adults, rash, leucopenia, and the absence of sore throat were associated with dengue infection; in all age groups, retro-orbital pain was associated with dengue infection.

Early diagnosis of dengue is challenging because the initial symptoms are often non-specific, viraemia may be below detectable levels and serological tests confirm dengue late in the course of illness. Identifying dengue early in the clinical course could be useful in reducing dengue virus transmission in a community. This study analyzed data from 145 laboratory-positive and 293 laboratory-negative dengue cases in Puerto Rico to define the early clinical features of dengue infection in children and adults and to identify the clinical features that predict a laboratory-positive dengue infection. Among children, rash and age were independently associated with laboratory-positive dengue infection. Rash in the absence of cough had a positive predictive value of 100% and a negative predictive value of 82.4% as a paediatric dengue screen. Among adults, eye pain, diarrhoea and absence of upper respiratory symptoms were independently associated with laboratory-positive dengue infection. No useful early predictors of dengue infection among adults were found. Using clinical features may promote earlier identification of a subset of paediatric dengue patients in Puerto Rico. Laboratory confirmation is still necessary for the accurate diagnosis of dengue infection.

Correlation between TST-positive status and dense subgroup occurrence supports the value of collecting place data to help prioritize TB contact investigations. TB controllers should consider developing social network analysis capacity to facilitate the systematic collection, analysis, and interpretation of contact-investigation data.

From June 2005 to May 2006, a clinic-based enhanced surveillance system for dengue was implemented in a Puerto Rican municipality to provide a population-based measure of disease incidence and clinical outcomes. We obtained demographic and clinical information from suspected cases and performed serologic and virologic testing. We used World Health Organization (WHO) criteria to classify cases and applied a simplified case definition for severe dengue illness. There were 7.7 laboratory-positive cases of dengue per 1,000 population. The highest incidence, 13.4 per 1,000, was among 10 to 19 year olds. Of the 156 laboratory-positive cases, three patients (1.9%) met WHO criteria for dengue hemorrhagic fever, and 30 patients (19.2%) had at least one severe clinical manifestation of dengue infection. Our data suggest that in a community with endemic dengue, enhanced surveillance is useful for detecting symptomatic infections. Furthermore, the simplified case definition for severe dengue may be useful in clinic-based surveillance.

Abstract. Dengue is a potentially fatal acute febrile illness caused by the mosquito-borne dengue viruses (DENV-1 to -4). To estimate DENV seroincidence in school-aged children, a 1-year prospective cohort study was conducted in Patillas, Puerto Rico; 10-to 18-year-olds (N = 345) were randomly selected from 13 public schools. At enrollment, 49.8% of the entire cohort had DENV immunoglobulin G (IgG) anti-DENV antibodies, and there were individuals with neutralizing antibodies specific to each of the four DENV. The mean age of participants with incident DENV infection was 13.4 years. The 1-year seroincidence rate was 5.6%, and 61.1% of infections were inapparent. Having IgG anti-DENV at enrollment was associated with seroincidence (risk ratio = 6.8). Acute febrile illnesses during the study period were captured by a fever diary and an enhanced and passive surveillance system in the municipios of Patillas and Guayama. In summary, at enrollment, nearly one-half of the participants had a prior DENV infection, with the highest incidence in the 10-to 11-year-olds, of which most were inapparent infections, and symptomatic infections were considered mild.