No abstract

A quantitative model of Russia's information and communication technologies (ICT) ecosystem has been proposed that describes the main relationships between its participants, as well as the impact of environmental factors on the functioning of the ICT ecosystem. Based on the model, we have assessed the longterm (until 2030) potential for the development of Russia's ICT sector in the case of the state's active and stimulating strategy and the formation of an advanced system of institutions. We have also evaluated the contribution of the ICT sector to the macroeconomic dynamics while implementing the target scenario.

Key risks and threats of the long term development of the Russian economy, originating from the social sphere, are revealed and analyzed. The article focuses on human capital development and replenish ment problems, as well as on the social effects of these problems on education, health conditions, labor migration, and pension provision.

A set of technological and economic problems of the long term development of the Russian econ omy (2025-2030) is considered. Special attention is focused on the challenges related to technological devel opment.