4Non-technical summary 5

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No abstract

Por medio de un modelo VAR estructural lineal estándar, se analiza lamagnitud y el signo de los multiplicadores fiscales para la zona euro,utilizando una base de datos trimestrales de variables fiscales para el período1981-2007 recientemente disponible. Desde una perspectiva política, elanálisis de los multiplicadores fiscales en "tiempos normales" proporcionainformación detallada sobre el impacto tanto de medidas de estímulo fiscal ymedidas de consolidación fiscal, a condición de que los períodos "buenos" y"malos" sean en promedio similares.

The euro area has shown lower capacity to resist shocks than other monetary unions, such as the US. One possible determinant is the lack of risk-sharing mechanisms. In this article, we estimate the risk-sharing capacity of the Euro Area according to the Asdrubali et al. (1996) methodology. The results show that the degree of risk-sharing is low in the euro area, in particular, due to underdeveloped capital markets and the lack of a central fiscal capacity. We suggest venues of reform to increase the economic resilience of the common currency area.