In the current conditions for the development of the world economic system and against the backdrop of growing contradictions of various participants in trade and economic relations formed under the influence of both purely economic and political factors, when making investment decisions for the development of international business and projects, including infrastructure ones, it is necessary to take into account associated risks. Using the methodological approaches of system analysis of large-scale investment projects, which use expert methods to reduce the level of influence of risk factors and uncertainty, an analysis of the sensitivity of individual infrastructure projects to the influence of environmental factors was carried out. As a result of the study, it was shown that scenarios for the development of the external environment differently affect the infrastructure projects of different purposes that are allocated in the work. Each type of infrastructure projects has its own peculiarities: projects of transit value serve the trade and economic relations of European and Asian countries, infrastructure projects of regional importance contribute to strengthening trade and economic relations of border areas, and certain commercial railway lines provide access to mineral deposits. The findings can be used in forecasting the development of continental trade and economic relations, both in general and in individual industries, as well as in substantiating large-scale infrastructure projects that solve the problem of transport supply of international trade.

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The development of international cargo transportation has been relevant since the emergence of the international division of labor. Billions of tons of goods of various names, values and volumes are transported across the borders of the Russian Federation every year. This paper examines the Eurasian Economic Union international transportation system, its transport system integration, and the formation of a common transport space. The authors analyzed the international transport market state and conditions and the level of containerization. The transport system is considered the country's economy "circulatory system", which makes it a key link in the implementation of economic reforms in the country. The transport industry has social significance, which also determines the specifics of the phased market transformations. The development of international multimodal container transportation is becoming a new trend in the development of the transport service market.

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Research background: The aim of the scientific contribution is to analyze the aspect of Transport Development of the Greater Tumen Initiative. Economic cooperation among the countries of the Greater Tumen Initiative (GTI) is the basis for interaction in various fields, especially transport. Purpose of the article: However, taking into account the prevailing trends in Europe-Asia transportation, it is not entirely correct to make the implementation of GTI transport projects dependent on prospective transit freight flows. At first, it is necessary to concentrate on the transport support of foreign trade flows directly between the GTI member countries. Methods: We propose to assess the stability of foreign trade flows as a cargo base (current and potential) of transport projects within the GTI by absolute time series, which reflects the trend (or its absence, i.e. each next level is higher or lower than the previous one) and its stability, as well as by relative time series, i.e. growth rates, which reflects the stability of the change rate (the growth rate of each subsequent period is higher or lower than the previous one). Findings & Value added: Based on the results of the assessment of foreign trade flows between the member countries, that forms the current and potential cargo base of transport projects, it was concluded not only about a high degree of stability and potential of foreign economic cooperation, but also about the need of extra measures for its further intensifying, including foreign trade transport services improvement.