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† Sadly, Bas Bueno-de-Mesquita passed away during the submission process.Thomas Behrens, Benjamin Kendzia, Beate Pesch and Thomas Brüning, as staff of the Institute for Prevention and Occupational Medicine (IPA), are or were formerly employed by the study's main financing body, the German Social Accident Insurance. IPA is an independent research institute of the Ruhr University Bochum. The authors alone are responsible for the views expressed in this article and they do not necessarily represent the decisions, policy or views of their affiliated institutes.