The aim of this research is to analyze, from a macro-economic perspective, the dynamic relationship between higher education and the unemployment rate in Romania. After the political changes at the end of 1989, in Romania the number of individuals enrolled in universities and the number of highly educated graduates increased substantially. Through the research carried out in this article, we analyze whether this explosion of highly educated individuals is sustainable and is a factor in the evolution of the unemployment rate, specifically, whether higher education causes a short and/or a long-run decrease or increase of the unemployment rate, or whether the variables are independent. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, the augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) procedure, and other econometric techniques specific to the dynamic analysis of time series were used as methodological approaches. The results prove that, at the macro-economic level, higher education and unemployment rate are not co-integrated in the long-run. However, for the analyzed period, there was a significant but modest short-run positive effect of higher education on unemployment rate. Our study emphasizes the importance, for a balanced and sustainable labor market, of correlating the number of individuals enrolled in higher education institutions with the needs of employers. We underline that a non-sustainable increase in the number of highly educated graduates may become a cause of the increase of unemployment and permanent migration of highly educated individuals. The obtained results can be useful for policy makers and can contribute to the development of effective strategies focused on higher education.

The present study examined the impact of foreign direct investment, trade, final consumption expenditures, exports and imports of goods and services on the Romanian economic growth. The study used yearly data ranging from 1990 to 2020, and stationarity was checked using unit root testing. An asymmetric (non-linear autoregressive distributed lag) technique was employed to examine the relationship between variables with the estimation of short-run and long-run analysis. The findings of the short-run analysis show that the variables trade and final consumption expenditures positively impacted the economic growth in Romania through the positive and negative shocks. Further, the evidence also uncovered that foreign direct investment adversely influenced the economic growth, while the variable exports of goods and services revealed a significant influence to economic growth via positive shock. Imports of goods and services exposed a negative association via a positive shock and positive relation via a negative shock to the economic growth. Similarly, the long-run analysis also uncovered that variables trade and final consumption expenditures positively impacted the economic growth in Romania via positive and negative shocks, while the variable foreign direct investment showed negative linkage. Exports of goods and services uncovered a substantial influence on economic growth via positive shock, while imports of goods and services revealed a negative association via positive shock and positive linkage via negative shock to the economic growth. Foreign direct investment and imports of goods and services have a detrimental impact on Romania’s economic growth. In order to execute the right policies to solve trade and foreign investment uncertainties in Romania and boost economic growth, conservative measures are required.