The aim of this paper is the construction of stochastic versions for some fractional Gompertz curves. To do this, we first study a class of linear fractional-integral stochastic equations, proving existence and uniqueness of a Gaussian solution. Such kinds of equations are then used to construct fractional stochastic Gompertz models. Finally, a new fractional Gompertz model, based on the previous two, is introduced and a stochastic version of it is provided.
We consider a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process involving a stochastic forcing term in the drift, as a solution of a linear stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion. For such process we specify mean and covariance functions, concentrating on their asymptotic behavior. This gives us a sort of short-or long-range dependence, under specified hypotheses on the covariance of the forcing process. Applications of this process in neuronal modeling are discussed, providing an example of a stochastic forcing term as a linear combination of Heaviside functions with random center. Simulation algorithms for the sample path of this process are finally given.
Starting from the definition of fractional M/M/1 queue given in the reference by Cahoy et al. in 2015 and M/M/1 queue with catastrophes given in the reference by Di Crescenzo et al. in 2003, we define and study a fractional M/M/1 queue with catastrophes. In particular, we focus our attention on the transient behaviour, in which the time-change plays a key role. We first specify the conditions for the global uniqueness of solutions of the corresponding linear fractional differential problem. Then, we provide an alternative expression for the transient distribution of the fractional M/M/1 model, the state probabilities for the fractional queue with catastrophes, the distributions of the busy period for fractional queues without and with catastrophes and, finally, the distribution of the time of the first occurrence of a catastrophe.
In this paper we characterize the distribution of the first exit time from an arbitrary open set for a class of semi-Markov processes obtained as time-changed Markov processes. We estimate the asymptotic behaviour of the survival function (for large t) and of the distribution function (for small t) and we provide some conditions for absolute continuity. We have been inspired by a problem of neurophyshiology and our results are particularly usefull in this field, precisely for the so-called Leacky Integrate-and-Fire (LIF) models: the use of semi-Markov processes in these models appear to be realistic under several aspects, e.g., it makes the intertimes between spikes a r.v. with infinite expectation, which is a desiderable property. Hence, after the theoretical part, we provide a LIF model based on semi-Markov processes.
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