Tephra from large explosive eruptions can cause damage to buildings over wide geographical areas, creating a variety of issues for post-eruption recovery. This means that evaluating the extent and nature of likely building damage from future eruptions is an important aspect of volcanic risk assessment. However, our ability to make accurate assessments is currently limited by poor characterisation of how buildings perform under varying tephra loads. This study presents a method to remotely assess building damage to increase the quantity of data available for developing new tephra fall building vulnerability models. Given the large number of damaged buildings and the high potential for loss in future eruptions, we use the Kelud 2014 eruption as a case study. A total of 1154 buildings affected by falls 1–10 cm thick were assessed, with 790 showing signs that they sustained damage in the time between pre- and post-eruption satellite image acquisitions. Only 27 of the buildings surveyed appear to have experienced severe roof or building collapse. Damage was more commonly characterised by collapse of roof overhangs and verandas or damage that required roof cladding replacement. To estimate tephra loads received by each building we used Tephra2 inversion and interpolation of hand-contoured isopachs on the same set of deposit measurements. Combining tephra loads from both methods with our damage assessment, we develop the first sets of tephra fall fragility curves that consider damage severities lower than severe roof collapse. Weighted prediction accuracies are calculated for the curves using K-fold cross validation, with scores between 0.68 and 0.75 comparable to those for fragility curves developed for other natural hazards. Remote assessment of tephra fall building damage is highly complementary to traditional field-based surveying and both approaches should ideally be adopted to improve our understanding of tephra fall impacts following future damaging eruptions.
The flank collapse of Anak Krakatau on 22 December 2018 caused massive topography losses that generated a devastating tsunami in Sunda Strait, which then followed by eruptions that progressively changed the topography and structure of Anak Krakatau. Here, we investigated topography and structural changes due to the December 2018 flank collapse and the following eruptions by using high resolution Digital Elevation Model (DEM) before and after the events and sentinel 1A satellite image post-flank collapsed. Results show that the volumetric losses due to the 22 December 2018 flank collapsed is ~127 x 106 m3, while the following eruptions caused ~0,8 x 106 m3 losses. Structural investigation suggests two structures that may act as failure planes. The first structure is located at the western part of volcanic edifice that associated with hydrothermal alteration and the second failure is an old crater rim which delineated an actively deform volcanic cone.
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