Pharmacomicrobiomic studies investigate drug‐microbiome interactions, such as the effect of microbial variation on drug response and disposition. Studying and understanding the interactions between the gut microbiome and drugs is becoming increasingly relevant to clinical practice due to its potential for avoiding adverse drug reactions or predicting variability in drug response. The highly variable nature of the human microbiome presents significant challenges to assessing microbes’ influence. Studies aiming to explore drug‐microbiome interactions should be well‐designed to account for variation in the microbiome over time and collect data on confounders such as diet, disease, concomitant drugs, and other environmental factors. Here, we assemble a set of important considerations and recommendations for the methodological features required for performing a pharmacomicrobiomic study in humans with a focus on the gut microbiome. Consideration of these factors enable discovery, reproducibility, and more accurate characterization of the relationships between a given drug and the microbiome. Furthermore, appropriate interpretation and dissemination of results from well‐designed studies will push the field closer to clinical relevance and implementation.
Populations used to create warfarin dose prediction algorithms largely lacked participants reporting Hispanic or Latino ethnicity. While previous research suggests nonlinear modeling improves warfarin dose prediction, this research has mainly focused on populations with primarily European ancestry. We compare the accuracy of stable warfarin dose prediction using linear and nonlinear machine learning models in a large cohort enriched for US Latinos and Latin Americans (ULLA). Each model was tested using the same variables as published by the International Warfarin Pharmacogenetics Consortium (IWPC) and using an expanded set of variables including ethnicity and warfarin indication. We utilized a multiple linear regression model and three nonlinear regression models: Bayesian Additive Regression Trees, Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines, and Support Vector Regression. We compared each model’s ability to predict stable warfarin dose within 20% of actual stable dose, confirming trained models in a 30% testing dataset with 100 rounds of resampling. In all patients (n = 7,030), inclusion of additional predictor variables led to a small but significant improvement in prediction of dose relative to the IWPC algorithm (47.8 versus 46.7% in IWPC, p = 1.43 × 10−15). Nonlinear models using IWPC variables did not significantly improve prediction of dose over the linear IWPC algorithm. In ULLA patients alone (n = 1,734), IWPC performed similarly to all other linear and nonlinear pharmacogenetic algorithms. Our results reinforce the validity of IWPC in a large, ethnically diverse population and suggest that additional variables that capture warfarin dose variability may improve warfarin dose prediction algorithms.
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