The result of the accuracy by using cross-correlation matrix between the LULC model in 2015 with the LULC reference in 2015 is 75.88 %. The dynamics of LULC changes showed that area-class forest, dry land, paddy fields and shrubbery would be expected to experience an area decreases in the extent from the year 2015 to 2050, with the rate of change in average: 10.52, 13.22, 14.49 and 1.15 ha/year, respectively. Meanwhile, the area-class bare soil, plantation, settlement and water body would be expected to experience an area increases, with the rate of change in average: 6.79, 11.14, 11.49 and 9.7 ha/year, respectively. Furthermore, flood damage assessment can be calculated by estimating LULC area affected by the flood, which is determined based on the overlay between LULC maps from the result of Markov-CA with flood maps from the result of Monte Carlo algorithm. Under current conditions, estimated flood damage exposure to extreme flood events with return periods of 100 years for the water level scenario Hc = 3 m and Hc = 5 m is more than €520 and €958 million, respectively.

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The increasing volcanic activity of Anak Krakatau volcano has raised concerns about a major disaster in the area around the Sunda Strait. The objective of the research is to fuse Landsat-8 OLI (Operational Land Imager) and Sentinel-1 TOPS (Terrain Observation with Progressive Scans), an integration of SAR and optic remote sensing data, in observing the lava flow deposits resulted from Anak Krakatau eruption during the middle 2018 eruption. RGBI and the Brovey transformation were conducted to merge (fuse) the optical and SAR data.  The results showed that optical and SAR data fusion sharpened the appearance of volcano morphology and lava flow deposits. The regions are often constrained by cloud cover and volcanic ash, which occurs at the time of the volcanic eruption.  The RGBI-VV and Brovey RGB-VV methods provide better display quality results in revealing the morphology of volcanic cone and lava deposits. The entire slopes of Anak Krakatau Volcano, with a radius of about 1 km from the crater is an area prone to incandescent lava and pyroclastic falls. The direction of the lava flow has the potential to spread in all directions. The fusion method of optical Landsat-8 and Sentinel-1 SAR data can be used continuously in monitoring the activity of Anak Krakatau volcano and other volcanoes in Indonesia both in cloudy and clear weather conditions.

No abstract