that federal funding for other aspects of state welfare poUcy developed in a manner that would more than offset the public assistance formulas. Disaggregation may help us come to an understanding of why riots are independently related to increases in welfare spending from federal funds but not to increased spending from state funds. NOTES 1. Acadonic dispute is reflected in the sharp exchange between Abraham Miller, et al., and J. ABSTRACTIn an earlier paper I established that Latin American executives both civilian and military, manipulate aggregate public e3q>enditures so as to maximize their chsmces of retaining office. This paper carries the analysis further by elaborating five probable strategies, each consequent to the socio-political conditions executives face, auid links strategies to tradeoffs in various programs' shares of the budget at crucial periods.

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