Early TPB during AS is associated with significant upgrading and a change in treatment plan in over a third of men. If TPB was omitted in men with a PI-RADS score <3 and a PSA density <0.15, 12% of those harbouring more significant disease would have been misclassified.

Objectives To externally validate a nomogram recently proposed by Larcher et al. (BJU Int. 2017; 120: 490) and to develop a simplified model with comparable accuracy to guide on the need for staging chest computed tomography (CT) for patients with new renal masses. Patients and Methods We analysed the data of 1082 consecutive patients with unilateral enhancing renal masses referred to urology multidisciplinary team meetings at two centres between 2011 and 2017. All patients underwent a staging chest CT at diagnosis. We fitted multivariable logistic regression models and tested the Larcher model performance using area under the receiver‐operating curve (AUC), calibration and decision curve analysis. Results Forty‐two patients (3.9%) had a positive chest CT. The Larcher nomogram had an AUC of 83.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 77.1–90.6), but was only moderately well calibrated (calibration‐in‐the‐large = −0.61, slope = 0.82). Specifically, the nomogram overestimated the risk of positive chest CT, and the magnitude of miscalibration increased with increasing predicted risks. Using a stepwise backward approach, a new model was developed including tumour size, nodal stage and systemic symptoms. Compared with the Larcher model, the new model had a similar AUC (82.7% [95% CI 75.5–90.0]), but improved calibration and clinical net benefit. The predicted risk of positive chest CT was <1% in the low‐risk group and 1.9–79.9% in the high‐risk group. Conclusion The Larcher nomogram is an accurate prediction tool that was moderately well calibrated with our dataset. However, our simplified model has similar accuracy and uses more objective variables available from referral, so may be easier to incorporate into clinical practice. The low‐risk group from our model (tumour size ≤4 cm and no systemic symptoms) had a risk of positive chest CT <1%, suggesting these patients may forego chest CT.

Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging is a more accurate diagnostic test than transrectal ultrasound guided biopsy. However, a significant proportion of ISUP (International Society of Urological Pathology) Grade Group 2 prostate cancer remained undetected following multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging. Although multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging could avoid unnecessary biopsy in many patients with ISUP Grade Group 3 or greater prostate cancer, at less stringent definitions of significant cancer a substantial proportion of prostate cancer would remain undetected after multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging.

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