Projections of elderly international migrants in France can provide data for social and health services to serve culturally and linguistically diverse elderly populations. In this regard, projections of future demographic trends are more useful than consideration of current migrant age structures, as the latter are biased. Often, immigrant children born in a host country are not counted with their parents for a variety of reasons. The paper evaluates the nature of return migration flows by older migrants. Although the volume of movement is lower than at younger working ages, immigration to France at older ages is significant and is made up mostly of women. However, the main component influencing trends in elderly migrants is age structure, which varies according to origin and migration history; were moves pre-independence or postindependence in relation to the country of origin: did they occur during an economic boom or bust; and how were they timed in relation to the policy environment? The paper shows how France's 'closed-border' policy from 1975 onwards and subsequent family reunification impacted on migration trends of older people by sex. Looking to the future, the migrant communities of longest standing will increase slightly. Exceptions include the Italians and Spanish who will decline in size. Those who arrived later -Moroccans, Turks, and 'others' -will increase more than twofold, and subSaharan Africans up to sixfold. The numbers of women will increase more rapidly than men.
Tendances récentes des migrations dans le Pacifique Sud.
Les migrations internationales dans le Pacifique Sud se sont principalement, mais non exclusivement, développées selon les liens aux anciennes puissances coloniales. Depuis 1980, les réseaux se sont complexifies en raison des crises économiques et des changements des politiques migratoires. Les Océaniens migrent plus fréquemment vers l'Australie, directement ou via la Nouvelle- Zélande, et vers des destinations de substitution comme Samoa américaine. Les populations polynésiennes de plusieurs pays comptent plus de ressortissants à l'extérieur que dans les îles, mais la migration mélanésienne reste peu importante. La migration a créé un système économique particulier, reposant sur les envois d'argent des émigrés et l'aide internationale, avec pour seul output la bureaucratie. La vie chère dans les îles gêne la production agricole et le développement d'un secteur secondaire, sans empêcher la fuite des cerveaux.
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