Background There exists great heterogeneity in patient survival and the time interval between motor symptom and dementia onset (MDI) across Lewy body spectrum disorders (LBSD). The goal of this study is to identify genetic and pathological findings that have the strongest association with these features of clinical heterogeneity in LBSD. Methods In this retrospective study, we examined symptom onset, and genetic and neuropathological data from a cohort of LBSD patients with autopsy-confirmed α-synucleinopathy (as of Oct 1, 2015) recruited from 5 clinical research centres in 5 cities in the USA. Using histopathology techniques and markers, we assessed the burden of tau neurofibrillary tangles, neuritic plaques, α-synuclein inclusions, and other pathologic changes in cortical regions using averaged ordinal scores and genotyped cases for variants associated with LBSD. We evaluated the time interval from onset of motor symptoms to dementia (MDI) and overall survival in groups with varying levels of co-morbid Alzheimer’s disease pathology (AD) according to current National Institute on Aging–Alzheimer’s Association neuropathological criteria and used multivariate regression to control for age at death and gender. Findings This study included 213 patients who had been followed to autopsy and met inclusion criteria of clinical LBSD with autopsy-confirmed α-synculeinopathy. Patient groups were characterized by no (n=49,23%), low-level (n=56,26%), intermediate-level (n=45,21%) or high-level (n=63,30%) AD neuropathology. Across groups of increasing levels of AD neuropathology, there were higher cerebral α-synuclein scores, shorter MDI, and shorter disease duration (p<0·0001 all). Multivariate regression found independent negative associations of cerebral tau score with MDI (β= −4·0, 95% CI −5·5 to −2·6; p<0·0001) (R2=0·22, p<0·0001) and with survival (β=−2·0, 95% CI −3·2 to −0·8; p<0·0001) (R2=0·15, p<0·0001) in models including age at death, gender, cerebral neuritic plaque scores, cerebral α-synuclein, presence of cerebrovascular disease, MAPT haplotype, and APOE genotype as covariates. Interpretation AD neuropathology is common in LBSD and confers a worse prognosis for each increasing level of neuropathological change. Cerebral neurofibrillary tau tangle burden, α-synuclein pathology, and amyloid plaque pathology are the strongest pathological predictors of a shorter MDI and survival in LBSD. In the future, clinical diagnostic criteria which use reliable biomarkers for AD neuropathology in LBSD should help identify the most appropriate patients for clinical trials of emerging therapies targeting tau, amyloid-beta or α-synuclein, and stratify them by level of AD neuropathology. Funding NIH (NIA/NINDS).

Although PCR can intrinsically be a useful indication of disease, this ratio obtained in our analysis by using one of the clinically available automatic semiquantitative methods has large variability and might not be a reliable numeric marker in interpretation of [I-123]ioflupane studies. This may be due to difficulty in separating caudate from putamen on SPECT images, as well as the nonuniform decreased Ioflupane uptake in both putamen and caudate.

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