Relevance. Underestimating the importance of economic analysis is the barrier to the implementation of cariesprevention programs.The aim is to study with use of mathematic modeling method the clinical and economic effectiveness of dental caries prevention programs provided for schoolchildren.Materials and methods. The method of mathematic modeling was used to evaluate the clinical and economic efficiency of the caries prevention programs (educational, fissure sealing, fluoride varnish). The cost of prevention program implementation and the expenses for caries treatment without prevention were calculated according to the rate of Volgograd territorial mandatory medical insurance Fund for 2018 year. The differences between the caries prevention program’s cost and the expenses needed for the treatment of “prevented caries” were considered as saving.Results. It was revealed that the Educational Dental Program for the first grade schoolchildren has short duration (2 years) of clinical-economic efficiency. The Continuous Educational Dental Program applied for 6 years by dental hygienists or dentists led to saving (per 100 children) of 99.5-115.0 or 84.0-99.6 thousand roubles respectively. The economic effect of The First Permanent Molar Fissure Sealing Program was revealed after 2 years only when The Program was implemented by dental hygienists. After 6 years of working with this Program the saving were 181.3 or 146.2 thousand roubles per 100 children depending on who implemented the Program, dental hygienists or dentists. The cost of Fluoride Varnish Program implementation was higher than the treatment of “prevented caries”. However, the number of “prevented caries” after fluoride varnish application is higher than after the implementation of the Educational Dental Programs. Moreover, fluoride varnish, in contrast to fissure sealing, prevents caries of smooth surfaces of permanent teeth. Conclusions. The method of mathematic modeling can be used for the development of the caries prevention programs in various regions considering the availability of personnel and financial resources, and for evaluation of the clinical and economic effectiveness of preventive programs implementation.
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