BackgroundThe selection criteria for hepatic resection (HR) in intermediate-stage (IM) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are still controversial. We used real-world data to evaluate the overall survival (OS) in treatment with HR or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).MethodsIn total, 942 patients with IM-HCC were categorized into the HR group and the TACE group. OS was analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier method, log-rank test, Cox proportional hazards models, and propensity score-matched (PSM) analysis. Curve smoothing was performed through the generalized additive model. The interaction test was performed to evaluate the impact of HR on OS concerning risk factors. Also, we used multiple imputation to deal with missing data.ResultsIn total, 23.0% (n = 225) of patients received HR. At a median OS of 23.7 months, HR was associated with improved OS in the multivariate analysis [hazard ratio (HzR) = 0.45, 95%CI = 0.35–0.58; after PSM: HzR = 0.56, 95%CI = 0.41–0.77]. Landmark analyses limited to long-term survivors of ≥6 months, ≥1 year, and ≥2 years demonstrated better OS with HR in all subsets (all p < 0.05). After PSM analysis, however, HR increased the risk of death by 20% (HzR = 1.20, 95%CI = 0.67–2.15) in the subgroup of patients with lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) ≤192 U/L (p for interaction = 0.037). Furthermore, the significant interaction was robust between the LDH and HR with respect to the 1-, 3-, and 5-year observed survival rates (all p < 0.05).ConclusionHR was superior to TACE for intermediate-stage HCC in patients with LDH levels >192 U/L. Moreover, TACE might be suitable for patients with LDH levels ≤192 U/L.

BackgroundPreclinical studies showed that antibiotic exposure played a role in clinical outcomes in patients with chemotherapy via modulation of microbiota. However, it remains unknown whether antibiotic exposure during the bevacizumab therapy affects the clinical outcomes in metastatic colorectal cancer(mCRC) patients. This study aimed to examine the association between the antibiotic medication and the clinical outcomes in mCRC patients with bevacizumab therapy.MethodsThis retrospective cohort analysis included 147 mCRC patients treated with bevacizumab. The hazard ratio of death was estimated using three Cox proportional hazards models with (1) never vs ever; (2) never vs 1–6 days and 7–40 days;(3) increase per day, and further tested using propensity score matching (PSM) and landmark analysis. A smooth curve technique was used to explore the shape of dose-response relationship.ResultsCompared with the non-antibiotic group, antibiotic exposure was inversely associated with the mortality in the antibiotic group after adjustment for demographic and other potential confounders (a history of medication: HR, 0.650(95%CI: 0.360 to 1.173); an increase per day: HR, 0.967(CI: 0.924 to 1.011); 1–6 days: HR, 0.859(CI: 0.441 to 1.674); 7–40 days: HR, 0.474(CI: 0.225 to 0.999); P for trend = 0.040). A test for the interaction between sex was statistically significant (p = 0.016). A similar result was found as measured by landmark and PSM analysis. Significant negative dose-response relationship was shown by smooth curve analysis in the male patients but not female after adjustment for confounders(p = 0.028). No association was found between the antibiotic medication and adverse events of bevacizumab.ConclusionAntibiotic exposure could be inversely associated with the mortality in mCRC patients treated with bevacizumab.

Purpose The present study aimed to identify independent clinicopathological and socio-economic prognostic factors associated with overall survival of early-onset colorectal cancer (EO-CRC) patients and then establish and validate a prognostic nomogram for patients with EO-CRC. Methods Eligible patients with EO-CRC diagnosed from 2010 to 2017 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Patients were randomly divided into a training cohort and a testing cohort. Independent prognostic factors were obtained using univariate and multivariate Cox analyses and were used to establish a nomogram for predicting 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS). The discriminative ability and calibration of the nomogram were assessed using C-index values, AUC values, and calibration plots. Results In total, 5585 patients with EO-CRC were involved in the study. Based on the univariate and multivariate analyses, 15 independent prognostic factors were assembled into the nomogram to predict 3- and 5-year OS. The nomogram showed favorable discriminatory ability as indicated by the C-index (0.840, 95% CI 0.827–0.850), and the 3- and 5-year AUC values (0.868 and 0.84869 respectively). Calibration plots indicated optimal agreement between the nomogram-predicted survival and the actual observed survival. The results remained reproducible in the testing cohort. The C-index of the nomogram was higher than that of the TNM staging system (0.840 vs 0.804, P < 0.001). Conclusion A novel prognostic nomogram for EO-CRC patients based on independent clinicopathological and socio-economic factors was developed, which was superior to the TNM staging system. The nomogram could facilitate postoperative individual prognosis prediction and clinical decision-making.

ObjectivesTo explore the non-linear relationship between platelet count (PLT) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) overall survival (OS).SettingThe study was done in Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (SYSUCC) from January 2007 to May 2012, a total of 5005 consecutive participants at SYSUCC were retrospectively reviewed, and 979 patients with Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) stage B were selected for the final analysis.ParticipantsA total of 979 newly diagnosed patients with HCC with BCLC stage B were identified for the secondary analysis. Eight cases were excluded for missing data of PLT.Main outcome measuresCox proportional hazard regression models were used to calculate multivariable-adjusted HRs and 95% CIs for HCC. The non-linear relationship was estimated through a restricted cubic spline regression, and a two-piecewise Cox proportional hazards model was further performed to calculate the threshold effect. We used multiple imputation to deal with the missing data.ResultsIn the multivariate analysis, Log PLT was associated with a 91% risk increase in death (HR 1.91; 1.28 to 2.85) with adjustment for gender, Child-Pugh class, age × diameter of main tumour, both lobe with lesions × number of the intrahepatic lesions, alpha-fetoprotein (<25, ≥25) and lactic dehydrogenase (<245, ≥245). We also found a U-shape relationship between PLT and HCC OS at the inflexion point of 67.6×109/L. The HR was 0.12 (95% CI 0.03 to 0.52) for Log PLT≤10.83 and 3.07 (CI 1.91 to 4.92) for Log PLT>10.83 after adjusting for potential confounders. The core results were consistent with those from the sensitivity analysis. Besides, a significantly higher hazard risk was found in the patients with age <55, both lobes with lesions, tumour diameter >50, haemoglobin ≥120 and C reactive protein >10.ConclusionPLT was nonlinearly associated with HCC OS.