This paper explores the predictive power of the volatility index (VIX) in emerging markets from December 2006 to March 2010. The results of the study show that the models including both the volatility indicator and the option market information have a stronger predictive power. The predictive power of the models is improved by 88% in explaining the future volatility of stock markets, much better than that of other models merely considering the volatility indicator. With respect to the trading information from different types of investors in option markets, the trading information from the foreign institutional investors in option markets demonstrates a significantly positive relationship with the stock market volatility. In addition, the results of this paper also reveal that the volatility index (TVIX) of Taiwan stock index options is a strong indicator of future stock market volatility. The TVIX outperforms the historical volatility and the GARCH volatility forecast in assessing the activities of Taiwan's stock market.

As part of the low-carbon policy and development in Taiwan, the Bureau of Energy introduced the “Green Energy Roofs Project” in 2017, which encouraged homeowners to install green energy roofs. However, the incentives of homeowners and solar photovoltaic operators to participate in this Project were low. The aim of this study is to propose and evaluate alternative models for investing green energy roofs. The contributions of this study are that, first, we consider factors such as risk management schemes and crowdfunding that have not been considered in evaluating green energy roofs project. In addition, this study provides a solution to Taiwan government’s current dilemma about how to encourage homeowners to install green energy roofs. This study adopts five common investment appraisal methods (including payback period, discounted payback period, net present value, internal rate of return and profitability index) to evaluate four different models for investing green energy roofs. The results show that when homeowners are fully responsible for installation costs of green energy roofs with partial funds borrowed from banks and with consideration of risk management, the homeowners have better investment returns. Therefore, the Taiwan government could consider the alternative strategy proposed in this study for promoting green energy roofs so that the country can x`move a bigger step forward towards the goal of being nuclear-free.