Ueda, Michihiko, and David R. Darr. 1980. The outlook for housing in Japan to the year 2000. USDA For. Serv. Res. Pap. PNW-276, 25 p. Pacific Northwest Forest and Range Experiment Station, Portland, Oregon. Vacancies, including second homes, will probably become more important in the future as a proportion of the total number of housing units. This assumption is based in part on an apparent upward trend in ownership of second homes, both as vacation villas and as condominiums for occasional use in congested metropolitan areas. Housing demand in Japan is analyzed in terms of new household formations, vacancies, and replacements of housing stock. Total number of starts is projected to stay near current levels or decline, depending on assumptions about replacement demands. This contrasts with rapid growth in number of starts during the 1960's and early 1970's.