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Urban Public Transport System's Reliability Estimation Using Microscopic Simulation In the article the procedure of the reliability measures estimation for one route of the public transport network on the basis of a traffic flow modelling is suggested. A definition of UPTS reliability is based on the analysis of the Travel Time Reliability, Arrival Time Reliability and Probability of arriving to the stops with delay no more than m minutes. The approach is applied to the real task of the reliability estimation for Riga city public transport route. The microscopic model of transport network fragment is used for it.

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The paper represents Transport and Telecommunication Institute research programme for period of time 2016-2020. Developed research programme should insure sustainable development of TTI as research institution and should raise research capabilities of the organization by planning and further implementation of the collaboration activities with national and international partners. The analyses of main technology development in the area of TTI research activities, framework for development of research programme, the structure of key TTI strategies and main directions of TTI research activities are described in the paper sides.

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