Pandemi Covid-19 membuat perekonomian Indonesia terkontraksi 5,32 persen. Hampir semua lapangan usaha mengalami tekanan di triwulan II-2020. Hal ini disebabkan karena terjadi penularan masif Covid-19 di pabrik-pabrik dan perkantoran. Ditambah lagi, penerapan pembatasan sosial berskala besar (PSBB) membuat konsumsi rumah tangga menurun. Dampak pandemi di setiap provinsi tentu berbeda antara satu dengan lainnya sehingga kebijakan yang diambil tidak bisa disamaratakan. Oleh karena itu, penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis karakteristik pertumbuhan ekonomi dan sektor basis pada provinsi di Indonesia pada masa pandemi Covid-19. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode Location Quotient untuk mengidentifikasi sektor basis di setiap provinsi dan metode K-Means Clustering untuk memetakan karakteristik masing-masing provinsi. Hasil dari penelitian ini adalah provinsi dengan sektor basis pertanian dan memiliki risiko penularan Covid-19 yang rendah relatif tidak terkontraksi terlalu dalam. Dengan demikian, pemerintah harus tetap mengutamakan pencegahan penularan Covid-19 sekaligus memulihkan perekonomian yang dimulai dari sektor pertanian.
East Java is part of the international global supply chain and the gateway of trade to eastern Indonesia. East Java became the center of trade links to East Indonesia where this connection was strengthened by Tol Laut which is a subsidized cruise to and from Eastern Indonesia. The Covid-19 pandemic that infected East Java led to a decrease in people’s purchasing power and caused the trade sector to contract. This economic contraction caused shock in supply and demand. This research aims to explore the potential of East Java to rebound from economic contraction due to the Covid-19 pandemic. The analysis methods used are descriptive analysis and inference analysis using the panel’s spatial regression analysis method. As a result of this study, Tol Laut is a solution to resurrect and save the economy in Eastern Indonesia by lowering transportation costs thus refueling interregional trade.
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