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Abstract:The current study investigates an improved version of Least Square Support Vector Machines integrated with a Bat Algorithm (LSSVM-BA) for modeling the dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration in rivers. The LSSVM-BA model results are compared with those obtained using M5 Tree and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline (MARS) models to show the efficacy of this novel integrated model. The river water quality data at three monitoring stations located in the USA are considered for the simulation of DO concentration. Eight input combinations of four water quality parameters, namely, water temperature, discharge, pH, and specific conductance, are used to simulate the DO concentration. The results revealed the superiority of the LSSVM-BA model over the M5 Tree and MARS models in the prediction of river DO. The accuracy of the LSSVM-BA model compared with those of the M5 Tree and MARS models is found to increase by 20% and 42%, respectively, in terms of the root-mean-square error. All the predictive models are found to perform best when all the four water quality variables are used as input, which indicates that it is possible to supply more information to the predictive model by way of incorporation of all the water quality variables.

The modelling of drought is of utmost importance for the efficient management of water resources. This article used the adaptive neuro-fuzzy interface system (ANFIS), multilayer perceptron (MLP), radial basis function neural network (RBFNN), and support vector machine (SVM) models to forecast meteorological droughts in Iran. The spatial-temporal pattern of droughts in Iran was also found using recorded observation data from 1980 to 2014. A nomadic people algorithm (NPA) was utilized to train the ANFIS, MLP, RBFNN, and SVM models. Additionally, the NPA was benchmarked against the bat algorithm, salp swarm algorithm, and krill algorithm (KA). The hybrid ANFIS, MLP, RBFNN, and SVM models were used to forecast the 3-month standardized precipitation index. New evolutionary algorithms were utilized to improve the convergence speed of the soft computing models and their accuracy. First, random stations, namely, in Azarbayjan (northwest Iran), Khouzestan (southwest Iran), Khorasan (northeast Iran), and Sistan and Balouchestan (southeast Iran) were selected for the testing of the models. According to the results obtained from the Azarbayjan station, the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) was 0.93, 0.86, 0.85, and 0.83 for the ANFIS-NPA, MLP-NPA, RBFNN-NPA, and SVM-NPA models, respectively. For Sistan and Baloucehstan, the results indicated the superiority of the ANFIS-NPA model, followed by the MLP-NPA model, compared to the RBFNN-NPA and SVM-NPA models, and suggested that the hybrid models performed better than the standalone MLP, RBFNN, ANFIS, and SVM models. The second aim of the study was to capture the relationship between large-scale climate signals and drought indices by using a wavelet coherence analysis. The general results indicated that the NPA and wavelet coherence analysis are useful tools for modelling drought indices.

Water quality analysis is a crucial step in water resources management and needs to be addressed urgently to control any pollution that may adversely affect the ecosystem and to ensure the environmental standards are being met. Thus, this work is an attempt to develop an efficient model using support vector machine (SVM) to predict the water quality of Langat River Basin through the analysis of the data of six parameters of dual reservoirs that are located in the catchment. The proposed model could be considered as an effective tool for identifying the water quality status for the river catchment area. In addition, the major advantage of the proposed model is that it could be useful for ungauged catchments or those lacking enough numbers of monitoring stations for water quality parameters. These parameters, namely pH, Suspended Solids (SS), Dissolved Oxygen (DO), Ammonia Nitrogen (AN), Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD), and Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD) were provided by the Malaysian Department of Environment (DOE). The differences between dual scenarios 1 and 2 depend on the information from prior stations to forecast DO levels for succeeding sites (Scenario 2). This scheme has the capacity to simulate water-quality accurately, with small prediction errors. The resulting correlation coefficient has maximum values of 0.998 and 0.979 after the application of Scenario 1. The approach with Type 1 SVM regression along with 10-fold cross-validation methods worked to generate precise results. The MSE value was found to be between 0.004 and 0.681, with Scenario 1 showing a better outcome.

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