When the residual demand curve for wheat facing the United States and Canada shifts to the left, or when the exportable surplus of Australia is large, market-shares of these duopolists are reduced. Such circumstances lead to the formation of a market-share triopoly with Australia. The evidence for this proposition is examined and a model of triopoly pricing in the world wheat market is presented. If major exporters continue to be concerned with relative market-shares, the triopoly will reform, stocks will accumulate, and lower prices will prevail; however, prices will be more variable, and possibly higher, than before 1972/73.
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