IT exports, capital formation, FDI, and trade openness are the key elements to bring sustainable economic growth to any country, since these act as a lifeline to bring sustainability to countries. This study aims to estimate the impact of IT exports, gross capital formation, FDI, and trade openness on sustainable economic growth with regional integration of BRI countries using the annual panel data from 2013 to 2018. Moderating variable is regional integration, while the trade freedom index, investment freedom index, real interest rate, and inflation are control variables. The two-step system GMM technique is applied to the sample as the number of moment conditions is greater than the number of parameters. The results suggest that FDI and gross capital formation have a substantial positive impact on economic growth, whereas IT exports and trade openness have a negative, insignificant impact. The overall results suggest that China's outward FDI has boosted the economic growth in countries while trade openness has a negligible since most developing countries need to invest in industrialization and encourage exports based growth.
We characterize the debt risk and bank risk of local governments in China with a dynamic factor model that decomposes 31 provincial data of China into country, regional, and idiosyncratic components. The result shows the presence of co-movement between local government debt risk and bank risk. The country, regional, and province factors explain 62%, 16%, and 22% of local government debt risk, respectively, and 28%, 8%, and 64% of commercial bank risk, respectively. Sub-sample analysis reveals that the country factor has become less volatile and its importance typically increases across all provinces after the reform of local government debt financing pattern (e.g., the introduction of Document No. 43).
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