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ImportancePatients with early-stage ERBB2 (formerly HER2)–positive breast cancer (ERBB2+ BC) who experience a pathologic complete response (pCR) after receiving neoadjuvant therapy have favorable survival outcomes. Predicting the likelihood of pCR may help optimize neoadjuvant therapy.ObjectiveTo test the ability of the HER2DX assay to predict the likelihood of pCR in patients with early-stage ERBB2+ BC who are receiving deescalated neoadjuvant therapy.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsIn this diagnostic/prognostic study, the HER2DX assay was administered on pretreatment tumor biopsy samples from patients enrolled in the single-arm, multicenter, prospective phase 2 DAPHNe clinical trial who had newly diagnosed stage II to III ERBB2+ BC that was treated with neoadjuvant paclitaxel weekly for 12 weeks plus trastuzumab and pertuzumab every 3 weeks for 4 cycles.Interventions and ExposuresThe HER2DX assay is a classifier derived from gene expression and limited clinical features that provides 2 independent scores to predict prognosis and likelihood of pCR in patients with early-stage ERBB2+ BC. The assay was administered on baseline tumor samples from 80 of 97 patients (82.5%) in the DAPHNe trial.Main Outcomes and MeasuresThe primary aim was to test the ability of the HER2DX pCR likelihood score (as a continuous variable from 0-100) to predict pCR (ypT0/isN0).ResultsOf 80 participants, 79 (98.8%) were women and there were 4 African American (5.0%), 6 Asian (7.5%), 4 Hispanic (5.0%), and 66 White individuals (82.5%); the mean (range) age was 50.3 (26.0-78.0) years. The HER2DX pCR score was significantly associated with pCR (odds ratio, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.03-1.08; P < .001). The pCR rates in the HER2DX high, medium, and low pCR score groups were 92.6%, 63.6%, and 29.0%, respectively (high vs low odds ratio, 30.6; P < .001). The HER2DX pCR score was significantly associated with pCR independently of hormone receptor status, ERBB2 immunohistochemistry score, HER2DX ERBB2 expression score, and prediction analysis of microarray 50 ERBB2-enriched subtype. The correlation between the HER2DX pCR score and prognostic risk score was weak (Pearson coefficient, −0.12). Performance of the risk score could not be assessed due to lack of recurrence events.Conclusions and RelevanceThe results of this diagnostic/prognostic study suggest that the HER2DX pCR score assay could predict pCR following treatment with deescalated neoadjuvant paclitaxel with trastuzumab and pertuzumab in patients with early-stage ERBB2+ BC. The HER2DX pCR score might guide therapeutic decisions by identifying patients who are candidates for deescalated or escalated approaches.

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