In the treatment of metastatic malignant melanoma, dacarbazine plus tamoxifen is more effective than dacarbazine alone, as indicated by both the response rate and the median survival; the difference in efficacy is among women.
Background-Data on long-term risk and predictors of recurrent thrombotic events after ischemic stroke at a young age are limited. Methods and Results-We followed 1867 patients with first-ever ischemic stroke who were 18 to 45 years of age (mean age, 36.8±7.1 years; women, 49.0%), as part of the Italian Project on Stroke in Young Adults (IPSYS). Median follow-up was 40 months (25th to 75th percentile, 53). The primary end point was a composite of ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, myocardial infarction, or other arterial events. One hundred sixty-three patients had recurrent thrombotic events (average rate, 2.26 per 100 person-years at risk). At 10 years, cumulative risk was 14.7% (95% confidence interval, 12.2%-17.9%) for primary end point, 14.0% (95% confidence interval, 11.4%-17.1%) for brain ischemia, and 0.7% (95% confidence interval, 0.4%-1.3%) for myocardial infarction or other arterial events. Familial history of stroke, migraine with aura, circulating antiphospholipid antibodies, discontinuation of antiplatelet and antihypertensive medications, and any increase of 1 traditional vascular risk factor were independent predictors of the composite end point in multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis. A point-scoring system for each variable was generated by their β-coefficients, and a predictive score (IPSYS score) was calculated as the sum of the weighted scores. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the 0-to 5-year score was 0.66 (95% confidence interval, 0.61-0.71; mean, 10-fold internally cross-validated area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.65).© 2014 American Heart Association, Inc. 1 Although it is well documented that such a risk is much lower in young patients with stroke than in elderly patients, information on what specific factors may predict recurrent events in younger age groups are limited. Most data derive from single-center studies enrolling several hundred patients or less, 2 using different thresholds of age to define young, and sometimes being biased by the inadequate capture of cases, the inclusion of different ethnic groups, and the high number of patients lost to follow-up.3 This makes such studies somewhat heterogeneous and their findings poorly comparable. In addition, the influential effect of some specific factors is missing in most previous studies. This is the case, for example, of patients' adherence to secondary prevention therapies, which is likely to impact the recurrence of potentially avoidable vascular events. The Italian Project on Stroke in Young Adults (IPSYS) provides the opportunity to investigate these issues owing to its large sample size, the homogeneous demographic characteristics and clinical phenotype of the subjects included, and the standard diagnostic workup. Therefore, in the present study we aimed at (1) elucidating the predictors of long-term recurrent vascular events after first-ever IS, and the extent to which these factors can be modified, which implicates the potential of reducing this risk,...
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