Running title (less than 45 characters):Bayesian analysis of seasonal change points 20 6. The Bayesian model approach allows not only the calculation of phenological change points during the year but also estimates the probability of changes occurring on a particular day. This method leads to a higher accuracy in estimating phenological events in the growing season, especially when handling low quality webcam data. 10
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.