The overall cumulative incidence of 2.0% is what could be expected to occur among the local population in many developing-country settings, though TST conversion likely overestimates the risk of TB infection because of the low positive predictive value (PPV) of the TST in low-prevalence populations such as travelers. To maximize the PPV of a screening test for LTBI, a targeted testing strategy for long-term military and civilian travelers is recommended, based on exposures known to increase the risk of TB. Studies to better define higher risk groups, activities, and locations are needed.
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