Parkinson’s disease is one of the most common age-related neurodegenerative disorders. Although predominantly a motor disorder, cognitive impairment and dementia are important features of Parkinson’s disease, particularly in the later stages of the disease. However, the rate of cognitive decline varies among Parkinson’s disease patients, and the genetic basis for this heterogeneity is incompletely understood. To explore the genetic factors associated with rate of progression to Parkinson’s disease dementia, we performed a genome-wide survival meta-analysis of 3,923 clinically diagnosed Parkinson’s disease cases of European ancestry from four longitudinal cohorts. In total, 6.7% of individuals with Parkinson’s disease developed dementia during study follow-up, on average 4.4 ± 2.4 years from disease diagnosis. We have identified the APOE ε4 allele as a major risk factor for the conversion to Parkinson’s disease dementia [hazards ratio = 2.41 (1.94–3.00), P = 2.32 × 10−15], as well as a new locus within the ApoE and APP receptor LRP1B gene [hazards ratio = 3.23 (2.17–4.81), P = 7.07 × 10−09]. In a candidate gene analysis, GBA variants were also identified to be associated with higher risk of progression to dementia [hazards ratio = 2.02 (1.21–3.32), P = 0.007]. CSF biomarker analysis also implicated the amyloid pathway in Parkinson’s disease dementia, with significantly reduced levels of amyloid β42 (P = 0.0012) in Parkinson’s disease dementia compared to Parkinson’s disease without dementia. These results identify a new candidate gene associated with faster conversion to dementia in Parkinson's disease and suggest that amyloid-targeting therapy may have a role in preventing Parkinson’s disease dementia.

BackgroundPatients with Parkinson’s disease (PD) have variable rates of progression. More accurate prediction of progression could improve selection for clinical trials. Although some variance in clinical progression can be predicted by age at onset and phenotype, we hypothesise that this can be further improved by blood biomarkers.ObjectiveTo determine if blood biomarkers (serum neurofilament light (NfL) and genetic status (glucocerebrosidase, GBA and apolipoprotein E (APOE))) are useful in addition to clinical measures for prognostic modelling in PD.MethodsWe evaluated the relationship between serum NfL and baseline and longitudinal clinical measures as well as patients’ genetic (GBA and APOE) status. We classified patients as having a favourable or an unfavourable outcome based on a previously validated model, and explored how blood biomarkers compared with clinical variables in distinguishing prognostic phenotypes .Results291 patients were assessed in this study. Baseline serum NfL was associated with baseline cognitive status. Nfl predicted a shorter time to dementia, postural instability and death (dementia—HR 2.64; postural instability—HR 1.32; mortality—HR 1.89) whereas APOEe4 status was associated with progression to dementia (dementia—HR 3.12, 95% CI 1.63 to 6.00). NfL levels and genetic variables predicted unfavourable progression to a similar extent as clinical predictors. The combination of clinical, NfL and genetic data produced a stronger prediction of unfavourable outcomes compared with age and gender (area under the curve: 0.74-age/gender vs 0.84-ALL p=0.0103).ConclusionsClinical trials of disease-modifying therapies might usefully stratify patients using clinical, genetic and NfL status at the time of recruitment.