The article has examined the mechanisms that have determined the processes of the automobilization of the population in the past and describes their possible transformation under the influence of technological, sociocultural, and institutional changes that are already occurring and expected in the future.

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The report is devoted to two interrelated issues: the impact of penetration of fully autonomous cars and car sharing on the car fleets, and in combination with an increase of the share of electric vehicles on the volume and structure of energy demand. For this, forecasting tools and motorization scenarios have been developed. Forecasts for car fleet and energy demand were obtained for Russia and the largest economies in the world (China, USA, EU, India, Japan).

No abstract