This study aims to determine the impact of COVID-19 cases in Indonesia on the USD/IDR exchange rate using the Transfer Function Model and Vector Autoregressive Moving-Average with Exogenous Regressors (VARMAX) Model. This paper uses daily data on the COVID-19 case in Indonesia, the USD/IDR exchange rate, and the IDX Composite period from 1 March to 29 June 2020. The analysis shows: (1) the higher the increase of the number of COVID-19 cases in Indonesia will significantly weaken the USD/IDR exchange rate, (2) an increase of 1% in the number of COVID-19 cases in Indonesia six days ago will weaken the USD/IDR exchange rate by 0.003%, (3) an increase of 1% in the number of COVID-19 cases in Indonesia seven days ago will weaken the USD/IDR exchange rate by 0.17%, and (4) an increase of 1% in the number of COVID-19 cases in Indonesia eight days ago will weaken the USD/IDR exchange rate by 0.24%.
The Markov chain was proposed to estimate the human mitochondrial DNA mutation pattern. One DNA sequence was taken randomly from 100 sequences in Genbank. The nucleotide transition matrix and mutation transition matrix were estimated from this sequence. We determined whether the states (mutation/normal) are recurrent or transient. The results showed that both of them are recurrent.
Automobile insurance benefits are protecting the vehicle and minimizing customer losses. Insurance companies must provide funds to pay customer claims if a claim occurs. Insurance claims can be modelled by Poisson regression. Poisson regression is used to analyze the count data with Poisson distributed data responses. this paper, the data model of sample is automobile insurance claims from the companies in one year (in 2021) of observation which contains three types of insurance products, i.e., Total Loss Only (TLO), All Risk, and Comprehensive. The results of data analysis show that the highest number of claims comes from Comprehensive insurance products, especially if the premium value gets more extensive. In contrast, the least comes from TLO insurance products.
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