A mathematical model of Caprine arthritis encephalitis (CAE) that has a great economic impact in goat farming Transmission path of CAE virus is mainly by vertical transmission through breast milk. Droplet infection and sexual infection is known as other transmission path. From these facts, mathematical model of CAE was created based on the model of spread of sexually transmitted disease (STD) in the human case. The model is analyzed to determine the stability.
This study was aimed at developing mathematical model of caprine arthritis encephalitis (CAE) and considering effective measures to prevent CAE's infection spread. This model took account of the fluctuation of infection rate due to seasonal breeding. New CAE model was constructed based on the sexually transmitted disease (STD) model. The new model was implemented the new function represented cyclical changes of infection rate to include the changes of the seasonal breeding. And definition equation of basic reproductive numbers (R 0 ) was constructed in reference previous study. In order to consider effective measures to prevent CAE's infection, the spread of CAE's infection was performed simulation.
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