No abstract

It is uncertain to which extent antibody and T-cell responses after vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 are associated with reduced risk of breakthrough infection and whether their measurement enhances risk prediction. We conducted a phase-4 open-label clinical trial in the pre-omicron era, enrolling 2,760 individuals aged ≥16 years 35±8 days after having received the second dose of BNT162b2 (baseline 15-21 May 2021). Over a median 5.9-month of follow-up, we identified incident SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infections using weekly antigen tests, a confirmatory PCR test, and/or serological evidence for incident infection. We quantified relative risks adjusted for age, sex, and prior SARS-CoV-2 infection for different immunological parameters and assessed improvements in risk discrimination. In contrast to the T-cell response, higher plasma levels of binding antibodies and antibodies in a surrogate neutralization assay were associated with reduced risk of breakthrough infection. Furthermore, assessment of anti-spike IgG levels enhanced prediction of breakthrough infection and may therefore be a suitable measurable correlate of protection in practice.

In order to curb the rapid dissemination of the B.1.351 variant of SARS-CoV-2 in the district of Schwaz and beyond, the EU allocated additional vaccine doses at the beginning of March 2021 to implement a rapid mass vaccination of the population (16+). The aim of our study was to determine the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 among the adult population in the district of Schwaz at the time of the implementation. Data on previous history of infections, symptoms and immunization status were collected using a structured questionnaire. Blood samples were used to determine SARS-CoV-2 specific anti-spike, anti-nucleocapsid and neutralizing antibodies. We recruited 2,474 individuals with a median age (IQR) of 42 (31–54) years. Using the official data on distribution of age and sex, we found a standardized prevalence of undocumented infections at 15.0% (95% CI: 13.2–16.7). Taken together with the officially documented infections, we estimated that 24.0% (95% CI: 22.5–25.6) of the adult population had prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. Hence, the proportion of undocumented infections identified by our study was 55.8% (95% CI: 52.7–58.5). With a vaccination coverage of 10% among the adults population at that time, we imply that a minimum of two-thirds of the target popuation was susceptible to the circulating threat when this unique campaign started.