No abstract

No abstract

Background and Aims Equations used to estimate glomerular filtration rate (GFR) are not accurate in patients with cirrhosis. We aimed to develop a new equation to estimate the GFR in subjects with cirrhosis and compare its performance with chronic kidney disease epidemiology collaboration (CKD-EPI) cystatin C and creatinine-cystatin C equations, which were derived in populations without cirrhosis. Methods From 2010 through 2014, we measured GFR in 103 subjects with cirrhosis based on non-radiolabeled iothalamate plasma clearance. We measured blood levels of creatinine, cystatin C, beta-trace protein, beta-2 microglobulin, L-arginine, and symmetrical and asymmetrical dimethylarginines simultaneously with GFR. Multivariate linear regression analysis was performed to develop models to estimate GFR. Overall accuracy, defined by the root mean square error (RMSE) of our newly developed model to estimate GFR, was compared with that of the CKD-EPI equations. To obtain an unbiased estimate of our new equation to estimate GFR, we used a leave-one-out cross-validation strategy. Results After we considered all the candidate variables and blood markers of GFR, the most accurate equation we identified to estimate GFR included serum levels of creatinine and cystatin C, as well as patients' age, sex and race. Overall, the accuracy of this equation (RMSE=22.92) was superior to that of the CKD-EPI cystatin C equation (RMSE=27.27, P=0.004). Among subjects with cirrhosis and diuretic-refractory ascites, the accuracy of the equation we developed to estimate GFR (RMSE=19.36) was greater than that of the CKD-EPI cystatin C (RMSE=27.30, P=0.003) and CKD-EPI creatinine-cystatin C equations (RMSE=23.37, P=0.004). Conclusions We developed an equation that estimates GFR in subjects with cirrhosis and diuretic-refractory ascites with greater accuracy than the CKD-EPI cystatin C equation or CKD-EPI creatinine-cystatin C.

Current liver allocation policy in the United States grants liver transplant candidates with stage T2 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) a priority Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score of 22, regardless of age. Because advanced age may portend an increase in all-cause mortality after transplantation for any diagnosis, the aim of this study was to examine overall posttransplant survival in elderly patients with HCC versus younger cohorts. Based on Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network data, Kaplan-Meier 5-year survival rates were compared. Recipients undergoing primary liver transplantation were stratified into cohorts based on age (<70 or 70 years) and the receipt of MELD exception points for HCC. Log-rank and Wilcoxon tests were used for statistical comparisons. In 2009, 143 transplants were performed for patients who were 70 years old or older. Forty-two percent of these patients received a MELD exception for HCC. Regardless of the diagnosis, the overall survival rate was significantly attenuated for the septuagenarians versus the younger cohort. After 5 years of follow-up, this disparity exceeded 10% to 15% depending on the populations being compared. The 1-, 2-, 3-, 4-, and 5-year actuarial survival rates were 88.4%, 83.2%, 79.6%, 76.1%, and 72.7%, respectively, for the patients who were younger than 70 years and 81.1%, 73.8%, 67.1%, 61.9%, and 55.2%, respectively, for the patients who were 70 years old or older. Five-year survival was negatively affected for patients with HCC who were younger than 70 years; this disparity was not observed for patients with HCC who were 70 years old or older. In conclusion, although patients who are 70 years old or older compose a small fraction of transplant recipients in the United States, patients in this group undergoing transplantation for HCC form an even smaller subset. Overall, transplantation in this age group yields outcomes inferior to those for younger cohorts. However, unlike patients who are less than 70 years old and receive MELD exception points, overall liver transplant survival is not affected by HCC at an advanced age.