Accurate 4D trajectory prediction plays an important role in the sustainable management of future air traffic. Aiming at the problems of inadequate feature utilization, unbalanced overall prediction (OP) result, and weak real-time response in 4D trajectory prediction by machine learning, a fractal dimension feature-prediction (FDFP) model is proposed, starting from the airborne quick access recorder (QAR) trajectory data. Firstly, the trajectory features are classified and transformed according to the aircraft operation characteristics. Then, the long short-term memory (LSTM) network is used to construct the prediction model by fractional dimensions; based on the fractal dimension feature (FDF), the different combinations of influencing factors are selected as the feature matrix, and the optimal prediction model of each dimension is obtained. Finally, 671 city pair trajectory data are used to conduct simulation experiments to verify the accuracy and effectiveness of the model. The experimental results show that the FDFP model performs well, with the mean absolute error (MAE) of longitude and latitude both less than 0.0015°, and the MAE of altitude less than 3 m. Compared with the OP model, the MAE of the FDFP model in these three dimensions decreased by 92%, 81% and 79%, respectively. Compared with experiments without feature transformation, the MAE of the FDFP model is reduced by 75%, 82%, and 69%, respectively. Each prediction of the model takes about 30 ms, which satisfies the real-time prediction conditions and can provide a reference for air traffic operation assessment.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
customersupport@researchsolutions.com
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Copyright © 2025 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.