BackgroundBase excess (BE) represents an increase or decrease of alkali reserves in plasma to diagnose acid-base disorders, independent of respiratory factors. Current findings about the prognostic value of BE on mortality of patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) are still unclear. The purpose of this study was to explore the prognostic significance of BE for short-term all-cause mortality in patients with AMI.MethodsA total of 2,465 patients diagnosed with AMI in the intensive care unit from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database were included in our study, and we explored the association of BE with 28-day and 90-day all-cause mortality using Cox regression analysis. We also used restricted cubic splines (RCS) to evaluate the relationship between BE and hazard ratio (HR). The primary outcomes were 28-day and 90-day all-cause mortality.ResultsWhen stratified according to quantiles, low BE levels at admission were strongly associated with higher 28-day and 90-day all-cause mortality. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models revealed that low BE was an independent risk factor of 28-day all-cause mortality [HR 4.158, 95% CI 3.203–5.398 (low vs. normal BE) and HR 1.354, 95% CI 0.896–2.049 (high vs. normal BE)] and 90-day all-cause mortality [HR 4.078, 95% CI 3.160–5.263 (low vs. normal BE) and HR 1.369, 95% CI 0.917–2.045 (high vs. normal BE)], even after adjustment for significant prognostic covariates. The results were also consistent in subgroup analysis. RCS revealed an “L-type” relationship between BE and 28-day and 90-day all-cause mortality, as well as adjusting for confounding variables. Meanwhile, Kaplan–Meier survival curves were stratified by combining BE with carbon dioxide partial pressure (PaCO2), and patients had the highest mortality in the group which had low BE (< 3.5 mEq/L) and high PaCO2 (> 45 mmHg) compared with other groups.ConclusionOur study revealed that low BE was significantly associated with 28-day and 90-day mortality in patients with AMI and indicated the value of stratifying the mortality risk of patients with AMI by BE.
Low heart rate is a risk factor of mortality in many cardiovascular diseases. However, the relationship of minimum heart rate (MHR) with outcomes after cardiac surgery is still unclear, and the association between optimum MHR and risk of mortality in patients receiving cardiac surgery remains unknown. In this retrospective study using the Multi-parameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care (MIMIC-III) database, 8243 adult patients who underwent cardiac surgery were included. The association between MHR and the 30-day, 90-day, 180-day, and 1-year mortality of patients undergoing cardiac surgery was analyzed using multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis. As a continuous variable, MHR was evaluated using restricted cubic regression splines, and appropriate cut-off points were determined. Kaplan–Meier curve was used to further explore the relationship between MHR and prognosis. Subgroup analyses were performed based on age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, and ethnicity. The rates of the 30-day, 90-day, 180-day, and 1-year mortalities of patients in the low MHR group were higher than those in the high MHR group (4.1% vs. 2.9%, P < 0.05; 6.8% vs. 5.3%, P < 0.05; 8.9% vs. 7.0%, P < 0.05, and 10.9% vs. 8.8%, P < 0.05, respectively). Low MHR significantly correlated with the 30-day, 90-day, 180-day, and 1-year mortality after adjusting for confounders. A U-shaped relationship was observed between the 30-day, 90-day, 180-day, and 1-year mortality and MHR, and the mortality was lowest when the MHR was 69 bpm. Kaplan–Meier curve analysis also indicated that low MHR had poor prognosis in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. According to subgroup analyses, the effect of low MHR on post-cardiac surgery survival was restricted to patients who were < 75 years old, male, without hypertension and diabetes, and of White ethnicity. MHR (69 bpm) was associated with better 30-day, 90-day, 180-day, and 1-year survival in patients after cardiac surgery. Therefore, effective HR control strategies are required in this high-risk population.
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